Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Projection, 10/4/2026 NFL Selections, Top Wagers & Odds Week 4

Home » Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Projection, 10/4/2026 NFL Selections, Top Wagers & Odds Week 4
  • Matchup: Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans
  • Scheduled Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Venue: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
  • Broadcast: FOX
  • Betting Odds: Texans -2.5
  • Total Points Over/Under: 47

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On Sunday, Reliant Stadium will witness an exciting showdown as the Houston Texans (0-3) clash with the Dallas Cowboys (1-2). The Cowboys have been designated as 2.5-point underdogs according to Las Vegas bookmakers, with the total points set at 47.

The Dallas Cowboys enter this matchup with a 1-2 record for the season. In their most recent outing, they faced the Baltimore Ravens, suffering a narrow defeat with a score of 34-31. Quarterback Dak Prescott completed 25 of 40 pass attempts for 276 yards, notching one touchdown and achieving a quarterback rating of 91.2 without any interceptions. Running back Javonte Williams spearheaded the Cowboys’ rushing attack with 19 carries for 98 yards (averaging 5.2 yards per carry). CeeDee Lamb shone in the receiving game, tallying 112 yards on seven receptions, averaging 16.0 yards per catch. Overall, the Cowboys executed 70 plays, accumulating 415 total yards, including 148 rushing yards on 30 carries (4.9 yards per carry). Defensively, Dallas allowed 15 completions on 20 attempts, giving up 186 yards with a completion percentage of 75.0% and 192 yards on 38 rushing attempts at 5.1 yards per carry.

NFL Picks: Javonte Williams Dallas Cowboys Predictions Odds

When it comes to offensive performance, the Cowboys average 29.3 points per game but struggle with a rushing average of 94.3 yards, placing them 23rd in the league. Dallas has amassed a total of 991 yards this season, securing 42 first downs while committing 21 penalties for 210 yards. They have fumbled the ball twice, resulting in one interception and one lost fumble. In terms of touchdowns, the Cowboys have recorded 7 through the air and 3 on the ground.

Defensively, the Cowboys have surrendered 622 passing yards, ranking them 15th in the league. They allow an average of 207.3 yards per game via the pass, with a completion percentage of 72.6%. In total, they have given up 539 rushing yards over three games this season, allowing 7 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns. On average, they’ve conceded 387.0 yards per game, placing them 30th in the league. Opponents have averaged 5.0 yards per carry and accumulate 179.7 rushing yards per contest. On the defensive side, the Cowboys rank 25th in the league, yielding an average of 27.3 points per game.

The Texans approach this contest with an 0-3 record this season. In their previous game, they lost to the Indianapolis Colts by a narrow margin, finishing 19-17. Quarterback C.J. Stroud threw for 167 yards on 16-27 passing, recording one touchdown and a quarterback rating of 89.6, while avoiding any interceptions with an average of 6.2 yards per attempt. Receiver Xavier Hutchinson led the team with three receptions totaling 51 yards (17.0 yards per catch). Running back David Montgomery had 11 carries for 33 yards, averaging 3.0 yards per carry. The Texans concluded the game with a total of 223 yards gained on 48 plays (averaging 4.6 yards per play). Houston’s running game averaged 3.3 yards per carry, accumulating 70 yards on 21 carries. Defensively, they allowed 31 rushing attempts for 89 yards (2.9 yards per carry) while the pass defense surrendered 211 yards on 24 completions from 36 attempts, resulting in a completion rate of 66.7%.

Houston Texans generate an average of 326.0 total yards per game, ranking 14th in the NFL. They post an average of 84.7 rushing yards per contest, totaling 254 rushing yards so far this season. With no interceptions thrown, they have surrendered two fumbles and made 34 first downs. The Texans have incurred 18 penalties resulting in 203 penalty yards, placing them 25th in the league regarding self-inflicted errors. So far in the season, they’ve thrown for a total of 724 passing yards, averaging 241.3 yards per game, which ranks them 10th in the league. Regarding scoring, the Texans sit 24th overall, averaging 18.0 points per game.

On defense, they have allowed 5 touchdown passes and give up an average of 238.7 passing yards per game, positioning them 26th in the league. Additionally, they have permitted a total of 260 rushing yards (an average of 86.7 yards per game) and 2 rushing touchdowns throughout the season. The defense has forced three turnovers (two fumbles and one interception). In total, they have surrendered 75 points so far. The Texans’ defense has participated in 182 plays, ranking them 14th overall in the NFL. They are conceding an average of 25.0 points per game, placing them 19th in the league.

Who will triumph in today’s NFL faceoff between the Cowboys and Texans?

Recommendation: Back the Texans -2.5

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Pick: Houston Texans -2.5
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