- Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings
- Scheduled Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: FOX
- Point Spread: Dolphins +11.5
- Total Points Over-Under: 38.5
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The Minnesota Vikings (3-0) are set to face off against the Miami Dolphins (0-3) at U.S. Bank Stadium this Sunday. Miami enters this contest as 11.5-point underdogs, with an over-under line set at 38.5 points.
The Miami Dolphins are struggling this season, currently sitting at 0-3. In their most recent outing, they faced off against the Kansas City Chiefs, suffering a defeat with a score of 24-10. Malik Willis was outstanding on the ground, carrying the ball 9 times for 56 yards (6.2 yards per carry). Chris Bell made significant contributions as well, registering 67 yards on 4 receptions, averaging 16.8 yards per catch. Willis completed 20 of 36 passes for 210 yards, resulting in a quarterback rating of 61.1, and he threw 1 interception. On defense, Miami allowed 88 rushing yards on 25 attempts (3.5 yards per carry). In the passing game, they permitted 20 completions out of 24 attempts for 246 yards, achieving an alarming completion rate of 83.3%. Overall, the Dolphins managed 67 offensive plays for a total of 329 yards. Their rushing attack saw 31 attempts for 119 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per carry.
When it comes to scoring, the Dolphins are averaging just 12.0 points per game this season. On the ground, they average 98.3 rushing yards, positioning them 20th in the league. Collectively, Miami has accrued 872 total yards thus far. The team has recorded 24 first downs and has committed 23 penalties amounting to 175 yards. They have turned the ball over 4 times (2 interceptions and 2 fumbles). In terms of scoring, Miami has managed 1 touchdown through the air and 2 on the ground.
Defensively, the Dolphins rank 28th in the NFL, surrendering an average of 28.7 points per game. Opponents have averaged 3.5 yards per rush and 104.3 rushing yards per game against them this season. Through the air, they’ve allowed 693 passing yards, ranking them at 20th overall, with opponents completing 80.3% of their passes against them. They yield an average of 335.3 total yards per game, placing them at 19th in the league. So far, Miami has allowed 7 touchdowns through the air along with 4 on the ground, totaling 313 rushing yards allowed over 3 games this year.
The Minnesota Vikings enter this game with an impressive 3-0 record this season. In their previous match, they secured a win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a score of 23-16. Aaron Jones led the rushing attack, carrying the ball 17 times for 58 yards, averaging 3.4 yards per carry. Jordan Addison proved to be a key target, making 5 receptions for 90 yards (18.0 yards per catch). Kyler Murray ended the game with 168 passing yards on 15 completions out of 29 attempts, achieving a quarterback rating of 66.5 despite throwing 1 interception, averaging 5.8 yards per attempt. On defense, Minnesota allowed 21 runs for 57 yards, averaging just 2.7 yards per carry. Their pass defense performed well, allowing a mere 45.9% completion rate and 186 passing yards on 17 completions out of 37 attempts. The Vikings recorded a total of 230 yards over 52 plays, averaging 4.4 yards per play.
Overall, the Vikings have averaged 238.3 yards per game this season, placing them at 32nd in the league. They average 101.3 rushing yards per game, totaling 304 rushing yards so far. With 2 interceptions and no fumbles lost, they have also earned 19 first downs. However, their offense has been penalized for 135 yards due to 15 infractions, which puts them at the bottom in terms of giving up yardage. This year, the Vikings have compiled 411 passing yards, averaging 137.0 yards per game, ranking 32nd overall. When it comes to scoring, they currently rank 16th in the NFL with an average of 23.7 points per game.
Defensively, they have given up 3 touchdown passes and are allowing an average of 234.0 passing yards per game, which ranks them 22nd. They have surrendered a total of 257 rushing yards (85.7 per game) and no rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has created 6 turnovers (2 forced fumbles and 4 interceptions) this year, allowing just 41 points in total. The Vikings’ defense has participated in 201 plays, placing them at 30th in the league, while they rank 2nd overall, conceding only 13.7 points per game.
Who will emerge victorious in the Dolphins-Vikings game against the spread this Sunday?
Expert Pick: Take the Dolphins +11.5
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