Sacramento Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction for 9/17/2025: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Sacramento Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction for 9/17/2025: MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Matchup: Sacramento Athletics vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Broadcast: NESN

Betting Odds: Sacramento (+110) Boston (-132)

On Wednesday, Fenway Park will host the Boston Red Sox (82-68) as they take on the Sacramento Athletics (70-80). Current betting odds position Sacramento at +110 and Boston at -132, with an over/under total of 8.5 runs. The game features pitchers Mason Barnett and Lucas Giolito.

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The Sacramento Athletics have a slugging percentage of .438 and have struck out 1,288 times, while accumulating 472 walks this season. They have tallied 673 RBIs and recorded 1,313 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .255. Collectively, the team has achieved 275 doubles and hit 211 home runs, while scoring a total of 694 runs, with an on-base percentage of .321. The Athletics average 4.6 runs per game, placing them 12th in the league.

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The Athletics have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.35, with a combined WHIP of 1.36 from their pitching staff. They have allowed 210 home runs and a total of 764 runs, ranking 27th in MLB. Sacramento has given up 1,285 hits (averaging 8.7 hits per 9 innings) alongside 706 earned runs. Their collective earned run average stands at 4.77 this season (27th in the league), and they have struck out 1,235 batters. The team has issued 526 walks, resulting in a season FIP of 4.70.

Athletics relievers have come into games with runners on base 149 times, participating in 130 critical situations. On the season, they have recorded 60 holds (29th in the league) and achieved a save rate of 62.7% from 111 save opportunities, recording 32 saves but failing in 19 chances. They have inherited 218 base runners, with 27.5% scoring. This season, a total of 474 relief pitchers have been utilized.

In the field, the Athletics have converted 69.8% of balls in play into outs across 11,982 innings, ranking 16th among MLB teams. The New York Yankees have 3,994 putouts, accompanied by 1,112 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is .985, placing them 19th in the league, with 100 double plays turned.

Mason Barnett has pitched 12 innings, recording 13 strikeouts in his professional career. With a 1-1 win-loss record, Barnett has a FIP of 8.72 while facing 63 batters. His earned run average sits at 8.85 (allowing 12 earned runs) and he carries a WHIP of 1.967, yielding 18 hits (13.3 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 6 walks.

On the other hand, the Boston Red Sox have hit 177 home runs this season, along with 702 RBIs. They have produced 302 doubles, drawn 478 walks, and scored 736 runs, resulting in a team OBP of .324 and a batting average of .254. The Red Sox boast a slugging percentage of .425 and average 4.91 runs per game, ranking 6th in MLB. They have been struck out 1,318 times (8th in MLB) and total 1,308 base hits.

The Red Sox pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 4.03. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.40, with 1,249 strikeouts versus 488 walks. They rank 16th in total hits allowed (1,243) and have given up 155 home runs, letting in 4.24 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). This season, the Red Sox have yielded 632 runs with an ERA of 3.74 (558 earned runs).

Boston’s bullpen has a 32.1% inherited scoring percentage from 196 inherited runners. Relief pitchers have appeared in high-leverage situations 174 times and have come into play with runners on base 144 times. In 150 save opportunities, they achieved 80 holds but have 26 blown saves, resulting in a save rate of 61.8%. A total of 492 relievers have been pitched this season. The Red Sox have recorded 42 saves from 68 save opportunities.

Defensively, the Red Sox have turned 122 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in MLB). They have made a total of 1,361 assists, with 108 errors and 4,024 putouts for the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.1% across 12,072 innings played (21st in baseball).

Giolito has yielded 1,009 hits in his career, striking out 1,190 batters over 1,149 innings. With a 71-66 win-loss record, Giolito maintains an earned run average of 4.30, allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up 549 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 4.2, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75 against 4,827 batters.

Who will come out victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the point spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink’s Prediction: Back Boston (-132)

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