Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Wednesday, September 17, 2025
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
Betting Odds: Toronto (-130) Tampa Bay (+110)
On Wednesday, the Tampa Bay Rays (73-77) host the Toronto Blue Jays (88-62) at George M. Steinbrenner Field. The current betting odds favor Toronto at -130, while Tampa Bay is listed at +110. The over/under for the game stands at 8.5 runs, with Kevin Gausman and Ian Seymour slated to start on the mound.
The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded 277 doubles and hit 178 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .431, they’ve struck out 1,018 times and earned 485 walks. As a unit, the Blue Jays average 5.0 runs per game, ranking them 4th in the league. They have accumulated 725 RBIs and 1,379 hits this season, maintaining a batting average of .269 and scoring 751 runs, complemented by an on-base percentage of .337.
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The Blue Jays have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.81 and a pitching staff WHIP of 1.25. Opposing teams have hit 197 home runs against Toronto, leading to 664 total runs allowed (19th in MLB). Over the course of the season, the Blue Jays have given up 1,196 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and 611 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 4.12 (19th in MLB), with 1,336 strikeouts recorded. The pitching staff has issued 475 walks and maintains a FIP of 4.29 this year.
Blue Jays bullpen has faced opponents with runners on base 161 times, appearing in 149 high-pressure situations. With 88 holds recorded (ranking 11th in MLB), their save percentage is 62.9%, having been called upon in 155 save situations with 39 saves and 23 blown saves. They’ve inherited 229 runners and have allowed 29.3% of them to score. A total of 521 relief appearances have been made by Blue Jays pitchers this season.
As of now, the Toronto Blue Jays have 4,002 putouts, 1,164 assists, and 81 errors. Their current fielding percentage is .985, ranking them 21st in MLB, along with 107 double plays converted. The team has successfully turned 70.4% of balls in play into outs across 12,006 innings, placing them 10th overall in baseball.
Gausman (career win-loss record of 112-112) possesses a FIP of 3.75, having faced 7,915 batters in his major league tenure. He has allowed 1,812 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 530 walks. His ERA is registered at 3.80 (801 earned runs) and holds a WHIP of 1.236. Gausman has pitched for 1,895 innings, accumulating 1,936 strikeouts in his career.
Tampa Bay has hit 171 home runs this season, with 636 RBIs and 224 doubles. The Rays have walked 428 times and scored 668 runs, currently holding a .312 on-base percentage and a .251 batting average. Their slugging percentage is .403, averaging 4.45 runs per game (14th in the league). They’ve struck out 1,291 times (10th in the league), amassing a total of 1,271 hits.
The Rays boast a team WHIP of 1.209 and a collective FIP of 4.15. They are currently 7th in the league for total hits surrendered (1,174). Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 620 runs, resulting in a 3.88 team ERA (572 earned runs). They feature a K/BB ratio of 8.90 (1,314 strikeouts to 432 walks) and have given up 191 home runs, allowing 4.20 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).
Rays relief pitchers have inherited runners with an inherited scoring rate of 31.6% from a total of 155 inherited base runners. They’ve appeared in 149 high-leverage situations and 106 with runners on base. In 145 save opportunities, Tampa Bay has recorded 82 holds and blown 27 saves. With a save percentage of 55.7%, they rank 26th in the league, having used 481 relievers this season. They’ve called pitchers to the mound in 61 save chances, successfully recording 34 saves.
Throughout 11,955 innings, the Rays have achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in the majors). With 135 double plays turned, the Tampa Bay Rays have a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors), logging 1,313 assists, 70 errors, and 3,985 putouts this season.
In his professional career, Seymour has permitted 34 hits and amassed 52 strikeouts over 42 innings pitched. He has given up 15 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.137 and a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.71, facing 178 batters thus far in the MLB. Seymour has a career win-loss record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.20 while allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Toronto (-130)
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