New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Insights, 10/7/2026 WNBA Analysis, Tips, and Odds

Home » New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Insights, 10/7/2026 WNBA Analysis, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream
  • Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
  • Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcasting: ESPN
  • Betting Odds: New York (+3.5)

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On Wednesday, State Farm Arena will host Game 2 of the WNBA Semifinals, where the Atlanta Dream (30-14) face off against the New York Liberty (26-18). Atlanta currently holds a 1-0 series lead, entering this matchup as 3.5 point favorites, with the over/under set at 173.5.

The New York Liberty suffered a 92-82 defeat in the opening game. They finished with a field goal percentage of 43.1%, hitting 28 of 65 attempts, including 11 out of 28 from three-point range. At the free-throw line, the Liberty proved perfect, converting all 15 attempts (100.0%). On the boards, they grabbed 34 rebounds, 7 of which were offensive, while also recording 17 assists, causing 13 turnovers, and making 6 steals. Defensively, New York allowed Atlanta to shoot 45.1% from the floor with 32 successful field goals out of 71 attempts. The Dream notched 9 assists and 14 steals, along with 34 rebounds (9 offensive, 25 defensive) and 4 blocks. Atlanta shot 78.3% from the free-throw line, making 18 of 23 attempts and successfully converting 10 of 26 three-point attempts.

wnba picks Sabrina Ionescu New York Liberty predictions best bet odds

Sabrina Ionescu stood out in the game, scoring 27 points on 10 of 20 shooting in 34 minutes, along with 4 rebounds and 1 assist.

This season, the Liberty hold a 26-18 record. They are shooting 34.8% from beyond the arc (449 of 1,290) and boast an 84.5% free-throw percentage. With an average of 89.6 points per game (5th in the WNBA) and a field goal percentage of 46.0%, New York commits 13.7 turnovers and 18.7 fouls per game. Averaging 35.5 rebounds per game, they have recorded 916 assists, ranking 7th in assists in the league. On defense, the Liberty force 11.0 turnovers while allowing 20.5 fouls per game. They rank 11th in the league for surrendering assists, with a total of 941. Defensively, they allow an opponent shooting percentage of 44.8% (484 of 904) and 31.5 rebounds per contest. Opponents shoot 34.2% from three-point range; the Liberty are 7th in the league for points allowed, conceding 86.4 points per game.

In Game 1, Atlanta secured 20 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards, accumulating a total of 27 rebounds. They committed 8 turnovers and achieved 10 steals. The Liberty’s 27 personal fouls awarded the Dream 23 free-throw attempts, of which they made 18 for a percentage of 78.3%. From three-point range, Atlanta connected on 10 of 26 attempts (38.5%) and shot 32 out of 71 overall for 45.1%. The Dream allowed the Liberty to score on 28 of 65 shots, giving New York a shooting percentage of 43.1%. Atlanta was also perfect from the free-throw line, making all 15 attempts.

Jordin Canada contributed significantly for the Dream, scoring 25 points on 9 of 14 shooting (64.3%) in 32 minutes, along with 4 assists and 1 rebound.

With a 30-14 standing this season, Atlanta has scored a total of 4,019 points, averaging 91.3 points per game while grabbing 35.6 rebounds. The Dream commit 19.6 fouls per game and shoot 78.6% from the free-throw line. On offense, they shoot 44.2% from the field, ranking 11th in the WNBA, and dish out assists 21.5 times per game (6th overall), with 12.6 turnovers on average. Defensively, the Dream rank 4th in points allowed with 84.5 per game. They force an average of 15.4 turnovers while allowing opponents to shoot 46.9% from the field (13th in the league). Opponents make 34.8% of their three-point attempts, while Atlanta allows 76.9% from the free-throw line. They limit teams to 19.2 assists and allow 31.0 rebounds per game, ranking 3rd and 2nd in the league respectively.

Who do you think will cover the spread in tonight’s WNBA matchup?

Prediction: Bet on New York (+3.5)

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Pick: New York Liberty (+3.5)
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