- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: FS1
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (+114) San Diego (-138)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
In the thrilling Game 4 of the NLDS, the San Diego Padres (91-71) aim to overcome the Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) at Petco Park on Wednesday. Currently, Milwaukee leads the series 2-1. The betting line places the Brewers at +114 while the Padres sit at -138. The total runs have been set at 7, with Robert Gasser and Walker Buehler expected to take the mound as starting pitchers.
The Brewers have recorded an impressive 279 doubles and hit 154 home runs this season. They boast a slugging percentage of .403 and have struck out 1,383 times, while drawing 668 walks. With an average of 5.1 runs per game, they currently rank 2nd in Major League Baseball. This season, they have accumulated 788 RBIs and achieved 1,422 hits, resulting in a batting average of .258 and a team on-base percentage of .341.
The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff holds a solid earned run average of 3.51 this season, ranking 2nd overall. Their pitchers have achieved 1,544 strikeouts, with 171 home runs allowed and a total of 618 runs (4th in MLB). The staff has issued 518 walks, with a collective FIP of 3.72 this year, and they’ve given up 1,186 hits (averaging 7.4 per 9 innings). The team’s K/BB ratio stands at 2.98, and they have an era-defining WHIP of 1.18.
Brewers’ relievers have entered games with runners on base 129 times and have participated in 158 high-leverage situations, securing 86 holds this season (14th overall). Their save rate sits at 72.4%, having entered 164 save situations and converting 55 saves, while 21 of their 76 chances were unsuccessful. Overall, they have inherited 187 runners this year, with 37.4% of them scoring.
Defensively, the Brewers have accumulated 4,340 putouts and delivered 1,269 assists, with 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is .987, ranking 7th in MLB, complemented by 118 double plays. The squad has converted 71.2% of plays into outs over 13,020 innings, placing them 6th in the league.
Pitcher Robert Gasser has logged 142 innings in his career, tallying 124 strikeouts and a record of 7-7. His FIP stands at 3.55, facing 606 opposing batters with a 3.61 ERA (57 earned runs). Gasser has permitted 128 hits (8.1 per nine innings) and issued 40 walks.
The Padres have produced a slugging percentage of .398 and average 4.46 runs per game (16th in MLB). They recorded 234 doubles, 554 walks, and a total of 722 runs, while also belting out 183 home runs and driving in 696 RBIs. The team has struck out 1,310 times (22nd in MLB) and compiled 1,314 base hits, yielding a .319 on-base percentage and a .244 batting average this season.
The San Diego pitching staff allowed 681 runs this season, with a 3.99 ERA (636 earned runs). They have given up 180 homers and average 4.27 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). With a WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 4.20, their K/BB ratio is at 8.20 (1,315 strikeouts against 554 walks), ranking them 13th in overall hits surrendered with 1,304.
The Padres boast a save percentage of 70.6%, sending 550 relievers to the mound this year. They’ve faced high-leverage situations 185 times and runners on base 153 times, with 179 save opportunities, resulting in 106 holds and 20 blown saves. Out of 68 save opportunities this season, they have achieved 48 successful saves, while 31.0% of inherited runners have crossed home plate.
Defensively, the Padres have executed 131 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .989 (2nd in MLB). They have recorded 1,431 assists, committed 64 errors, and made 4,309 putouts so far this year. Their defensive efficiency stands at 70.6% (11th in MLB) over 12,927 innings played.
Buehler, with a 66-35 career record, maintains a 3.69 earned run average and allows 7.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.17, having faced 4,118 batters throughout his career while yielding 407 earned runs. He holds a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.6, allowing 868 hits and accumulating 977 strikeouts over 992 innings pitched.
Who will conquer tonight’s MLB matchup, the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on San Diego (-138) and the under on 7 runs
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
