- Matchup: Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: Peacock
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+4.5)
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The Golden State Valkyries (32-12) head to the Michelob ULTRA Arena on Friday to challenge the Las Vegas Aces (31-13) in Game 3 of the WNBA Semifinals. Golden State currently leads the series 2-0, with Las Vegas starting as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 157.
In Game 2, the Valkyries clinched victory with an 83-81 scoreline. Golden State achieved a shooting percentage of 41.4%, hitting 24 of 58 attempts, and nailed 10 out of 29 three-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Valkyries excelled, making 25 of 27 shots for a stellar 92.6% accuracy. On the boards, they amassed a total of 52 rebounds, with 17 being offensive. Additionally, the team provided 13 assists, forced 6 turnovers, and secured 5 steals. Defensively, Golden State restricted Las Vegas to a shooting percentage of 43.9%, allowing 25 baskets from 57 attempts. The Aces recorded only 2 assists but tallied 9 steals. They gathered 25 rebounds (2 offensive, 23 defensive) and blocked 3 shots, while converting 23 of 26 free throw attempts for an 88.5% success rate. Las Vegas hit 8 of their 19 attempts from beyond the arc.
Tiffany Hayes made significant contributions during the contest. She tallied 21 points on 6 of 10 shooting, spent 17 minutes on the court, and grabbed 2 rebounds. Hayes ended the game with a shooting efficiency of 60.0% and added 2 assists.
The Golden State Valkyries come into this showdown with a record of 32-12 for the season. They average 82.2 points per game (14th in the league) while shooting 42.2% from the field. The Valkyries have a three-point shooting percentage of 34.4% (459 of 1,335) and a free throw success rate of 77.4%. As a collective, they are gathering 33.3 rebounds per contest and have distributed a total of 851 assists, ranking 13th in the league for assists. They commit an average of 10.4 turnovers and 19.2 fouls each game. Defensively, Golden State forces their opponents into 13.7 turnovers while drawing 18.9 fouls. They permit only 32.6% success on three-point attempts and lead the WNBA in points allowed per game (75.1). The Valkyries’ defense gives up a field goal percentage of 41.4% (1,146 of 2,769) and average 32.7 rebounds allowed per game, having surrendered 802 assists so far this season, a league-worst statistic.
In Game 2, the Aces emphasized defensive rebounding with 19 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds, totaling 25. They committed 11 turnovers while achieving 8 steals in the matchup. Due to Golden State’s 25 personal fouls, the Aces were awarded 26 free throw attempts, successfully converting 23 for an 88.5% rate. Las Vegas made 8 of 19 three-pointers (42.1%), while finishing the game shooting 25 of 57 from the field, giving them a percentage of 43.9%. They allowed the Valkyries to convert 24 of 58 attempts (41.4%). The Aces shot 34.5% from long range on 10 of 29 attempts, and maintained an impressive free throw percentage of 92.6% on 25 of 27 attempts, while allowing Golden State to gather a total of 30 rebounds (10 offensive).
A’ja Wilson stood out for the Aces, scoring 24 points on 9 of 16 shooting for a 56.3% efficiency rate, pulling down 7 rebounds, and providing 2 assists during her 36 minutes on the court.
Las Vegas holds a record of 31-13 this season. They average 17.3 fouls per game and hit 81.4% from the free throw line. The Aces collect 22.0 assists per game (2nd in the league) and commit 12.0 turnovers per contest. They’ve accumulated 4,025 points this season (91.5 per game) while averaging 33.4 rebounds. The Aces shoot 48.6% from the field, the second-best in the WNBA. On defense, they rank 6th in points allowed (85.8), permitting 34.9% success on three-point shots (386 of 1,107), and allowing opponents to convert 79.3% from the free throw line. Their defense averages 18.9 assists allowed, and 33.4 total rebounds per game (8th in the WNBA). They are good at forcing 13.2 turnovers per game while allowing opponents to shoot 44.4% from the field (5th overall).
Who’s poised to win the WNBA matchup against the spread tonight?
Prediction: Back Las Vegas (-4.5)
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