- Matchup: Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty
- Event Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
- Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
- Broadcast: ESPN2
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (+3.5)
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The Barclays Center will host an exciting showdown on Friday as the New York Liberty (26-18) face off against the Atlanta Dream (30-14) in Game 3 of the WNBA Semifinals, with Atlanta currently leading the series 2-0. The Liberty enter this game as 3.5-point favorites, with the total set at 172.5 points.
In Game 2, the Atlanta Dream secured a hard-fought victory, winning 101-98. Atlanta showcased their shooting skills with a field goal percentage of 40.5% (34 of 84) and successfully sinking 12 out of 30 three-pointers. At the free-throw line, the Dream excelled, making 21 of their 23 attempts for an impressive 91.3% conversion rate. The team collected 34 rebounds, with 9 of those being offensive, and tallied 20 assists while forcing 19 turnovers and recording 14 steals. Defensively, Atlanta allowed New York to shoot 54.7% from the field (35 of 64). The Liberty had 7 assists and 6 steals in the contest, along with a solid defensive effort featuring 34 rebounds (7 offensive, 27 defensive) and 9 blocks. New York shot 69.6% from the charity stripe by hitting 16 of 23 attempts and made 12 of 25 three-pointers.
One standout performer for Atlanta was Jordin Canada, who contributed significantly with 23 points on 9 of 15 shooting, along with 5 rebounds over 39 minutes of play. Canada demonstrated efficiency, finishing with a 60.0% shooting percentage while also providing 8 assists.
The Dream carry a solid 30-14 record into this matchup. Atlanta boasts a three-point shooting percentage of 32.5% (394 of 1,212) and an impressive free-throw percentage of 78.6%. Averaging 91.3 points per game (3rd in the WNBA), they shoot 44.2% from the field. Atlanta turns the ball over 12.6 times per game and commits 19.6 personal fouls on average. The team grabs 35.6 rebounds per game and ranks 6th in the WNBA with 944 assists this season. Defensively, the Dream force 15.4 turnovers per game and receive 21.2 fouls. They limit opponents to a 34.8% three-point shooting rate and are ranked 4th in points allowed per game (84.5). Atlanta permits a field goal percentage of 46.9% and averages 31.0 rebounds allowed per game, placing them 3rd in the league in assists surrendered (843 this season).
In Game 2, the Liberty secured 31 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards, totaling 36 overall. They turned the ball over 16 times and registered 6 steals. The Dream committed 18 fouls, sending the Liberty to the free-throw line 23 times, where they scored 16 for 69.6%. New York made 12 of 25 shots from beyond the arc at a rate of 48.0%. The Liberty’s overall shooting was efficient at 35 of 64 (54.7%). They allowed Atlanta to score 34 of 84 attempts from the field (40.5%) and limited the Dream to 40.0% on three-point attempts, going 12 out of 30. Additional rebounds by the Liberty included allowing Atlanta 35 total (11 offensive).
Breanna Stewart emerged as a key contributor for the Liberty, scoring 35 points on 11 of 21 shooting (52.4%) while collecting 11 rebounds and dishing out 6 assists over 43 minutes.
New York holds a record of 26-18 this season. The Liberty average 18.7 personal fouls per game and shoot a remarkable 84.5% from the free-throw line. They average 20.8 assists per game (7th in the WNBA) and record 13.7 turnovers. New York has scored a total of 3,941 points this season (89.6 per game) and averages 35.5 rebounds per contest. Offensively, New York shoots 46.0% from the field, ranking 6th in the league. On defense, New York stands 7th in points allowed per game with an average of 86.4. They allow opponents to shoot 34.2% from three-point range (395 of 1,154) and 75.1% from the free-throw line, while conceding 21.4 assists and 31.5 total rebounds per game (ranking 11th and 3rd in the WNBA, respectively). Furthermore, they force 11.0 turnovers per game and hold opponents to a shooting percentage of 44.8% (7th in the WNBA).
Which team will prevail in tonight’s WNBA game against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (+3.5)
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