Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz Analysis, 10/17/2026 Projections UFC Edmonton Betting Odds

Home » Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz Analysis, 10/17/2026 Projections UFC Edmonton Betting Odds

  • Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz
  • UFC Edmonton Showdown
  • Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

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Tanner Boser is set to face Jhonata Diniz at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026. The betting odds feature Boser at +205, while Diniz is favored at -240.

Tanner “The Bulldozer” Boser enters the octagon with a professional record of 22 wins, 11 losses, and 1 draw. The 35-year-old fighter weighs 245 lbs and stands at 6’2″ tall, boasting a reach of 75 inches. His opponent, Jhonata Diniz, stands slightly taller at 6’4″ and weighs 254 lbs. Diniz, also 35, has a professional record of 9 wins and 2 losses, with a reach of 79 inches. In terms of striking, Boser averages 4.82 significant strikes landing per minute, whereas Diniz lands 3.89. Boser connects on 53% of his attempts, while Diniz has a striking accuracy of 56%. On defense, “The Bulldozer” absorbs 3.00 significant strikes per minute and defends against 57% of them. Diniz allows 3.62 strikes per minute but successfully blocks 56% of incoming attacks.

UFC Predictions, Tanner Boser Odds
Event: UFC Edmonton Tanner Boser Jhonata Diniz
Opening Odds +205 -240
Record 22-11-1 9-2-0
Average Fight Duration 10:52 9:56
Height 6’2″ 6’4″
Weight 245 lbs 254 lbs
Reach 75″ 79″
Strikes Landed/Minute 4.82 3.89
Striking Accuracy 53% 56%

When it comes to grappling, Tanner Boser showcases superior wrestling skills, achieving a takedown approximately 0.90 times every 15 minutes. He completes 15% of his takedown attempts while defending against 69% of his opponent’s efforts. In contrast, Diniz also completes 15% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 70% of takedowns aimed at him. Boser is notably more active in seeking submission opportunities, attempting around 0.9 submissions every 15 minutes, compared to Diniz’s 0.6 submissions every three rounds.

In his most recent fight, Tanner Boser faced Gokhan Saricam and suffered defeat via a knockout from a punch in the second round. Saricam landed 79 out of 145 total strikes during the match, while Boser managed to hit 77 out of 117. As for significant strikes, Saricam connected on 57 out of 121, achieving a striking percentage of 47%. He landed 40 out of 101 significant strikes to the head, while generally, Boser secured 61% of his significant strikes, landing 60 out of 97, with 30 aimed at the head. Notably, 68% of Saricam’s significant strikes and 78% from Boser were fired from distance.

In Jhonata Diniz’s last matchup, he faced Mario Pinto and lost due to punches from the mount position in the second round. Pinto connected on a mere 6% of his significant strikes attempted from a distance, while Diniz was perfect, hitting 100% of his attempts. Diniz found success with 1 out of 5 significant strike attempts, failing to hit any significant strikes directed at the head. Conversely, Pinto demonstrated dominance, landing 29 out of 33 significant strikes. Of those, 28 were directed at the head. In total strikes, Pinto hit 87 out of 102 while Diniz achieved just 4 out of 9.

Additional Fights to Watch

Another bout to keep an eye on features Julien Leblanc up against Nick Galanti. Leblanc is looking to enhance his record of 10-3-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands at 6’2″, wielding a reach of 74 inches. Galanti, on the other hand, comes in at 6’1″ and also weighs 185 lbs. He holds a record of 8-1-0 at the age of 28, with a reach of 75 inches. Grappling statistics show Leblanc averages 0.70 takedowns per 3 rounds, while Galanti gets approximately 0.40. In striking metrics, Leblanc connects 1.69 strikes per minute with an impressive accuracy of 66%. Galanti, conversely, achieves higher volume with 13.71 strikes per minute and an incredible accuracy of 80%.

Additionally, keep your eyes peeled for the match-up between Steven Koslow and Chad Anheliger. Anheliger has a career record of 13-8-0, weighing in at 135 lbs and measuring 5’6″ tall. The orthodox fighter has a reach of 64 inches. Koslow stands at 5’7″ and also weighs 135 lbs, entering the fight with a record of 6-1-0. In terms of grappling, Anheliger successfully defends 38% of takedowns and converts on 30% of his attempts. Koslow completes 55% of his takedowns, defending against 15% of opponent attempts. When it comes to striking, Anheliger averages 2.76 absorbed strikes per minute while landing 3.11, whereas Koslow takes 3.73 strikes per minute but only lands 0.77.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Tanner Boser (+205)

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Pick: Tanner Boser (+205)
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