Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Analysis, 10/17/2026 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

Home » Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Analysis, 10/17/2026 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

  • Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott
  • UFC Edmonton Event
  • Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

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On Saturday, October 17, 2026, Joaquin Buckley is set to square off against Mike Malott at UFC Edmonton. The betting odds show Buckley at +110 and Malott at -130.

Joaquin “New Mansa” Buckley boasts a professional record of 21 wins and 8 losses. At 32 years of age, he weighs 170 lbs and stands 5’10” tall, with a reach of 76 inches. In contrast, Mike “Proper” Malott, aged 34, is 6’1″ and also fights at 170 lbs, holding a record of 14 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. Malott has a reach of 73 inches. In terms of striking output, Buckley averages 3.62 significant strikes landed per minute, while Malott’s output is slightly higher at 4.02. Buckley has a striking accuracy of 36%, whereas Malott boasts a higher accuracy of 48%. Defensively, Buckley absorbs 3.10 significant strikes per minute compared to Malott’s 3.09. Furthermore, Buckley successfully defends against 58% of significant strikes aimed at him, while Malott has a defense rate of 56%.

UFC Predictions and Best Bets for Joaquin Buckley
UFC Edmonton Joaquin Buckley Mike Malott
Opening Odds +110 -130
Record 21-8-0 14-2-1
Average Fight Duration 11:45 9:12
Height 5’10” 6’1″
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 76″ 73″
Strikes Landed per Minute 3.62 4.02
Striking Precision 36% 48%

When it comes to grappling, Joaquin Buckley is less proficient, averaging 1.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, with a takedown success rate of 45%. He successfully prevents 70% of attempted takedowns against him. Mike Malott, on the other hand, has a 50% success rate on his takedown attempts and stops 57% of the takedowns from his opponents. In terms of submissions, Buckley averages only 0.1 submission attempts per 3 rounds, while Malott averages 0.7 submissions every 15 minutes.

In his previous appearance, Joaquin Buckley fought Sean Brady and suffered a unanimous decision loss in the third round. Brady landed 245 out of 416 total strikes, while Buckley managed to land only 21 of 53. In terms of significant strikes, Brady connected on 77 out of 180, amounting to a 42% accuracy rate. Most of his significant strikes (76 out of 179) targeted the head. In contrast, Buckley landed just 16% of his significant strikes, connecting on only 5 out of 31 attempts, with 2 being aimed at the head (7% accuracy).

Mike Malott, in his latest fight against Gilbert Burns, emerged victorious via a knockout to the head while grounded in round 3. Burns connected on 97% of his significant strikes from a distance, while Malott had a striking accuracy of 78% at range. Malott achieved 46% accuracy overall, landing 56 out of 121 strikes, with 51 targeted at the head. Burns, on the other hand, landed 40 out of 92 significant strikes during the match.

Notable Fights on the Card

A key match to keep an eye on is the bout between Cody Chovancek and SuYoung You. Chovancek, boasting an undefeated record of 9-0-0, is a 28-year-old fighter weighing 135 lbs and standing 5’8″ tall, with a reach of 67 inches. SuYoung You checks in at 5’6″ and also weighs 135 lbs, coming into the ring with a record of 16 wins, 4 losses, and 2 no contests. When it comes to grappling, Chovancek secures takedowns 0.70 times per 15 minutes, whereas You achieves 4.26 takedowns per 3 rounds. In striking statistics, Chovancek lands an average of 2.85 strikes per minute with a 50% accuracy rate, while You connects on 47% of his strikes for an average of 2.15 landed per minute.

Viewers should also keep an eye on the matchup between Cristian Perez and Kyle Nelson. Nelson aims to improve his record of 17-7-1. The 35-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5’11”, while Perez measures 5’9″ and also weighs 155 lbs, with a record of 15 wins and 2 losses. In grappling, Nelson stops 66% of takedown attempts against him while successful on 23% of his own takedown attempts. Perez finishes 30% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 87% of takedowns against him. When it comes to striking, Nelson absorbs 4.58 strikes per minute while landing 3.60. Perez fends off 4.56 strikes per minute and deals out 3.30.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s UFC matchup?

Prediction: Choose Joaquin Buckley (+110)

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Pick: Joaquin Buckley (+110)
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