AS Roma vs Genoa Match Prediction, 10/17/2026 Soccer Picks, Insights, and Odds

Home » AS Roma vs Genoa Match Prediction, 10/17/2026 Soccer Picks, Insights, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: AS Roma vs Genoa
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Venue: Olimpico Stadium, Rome, Italy
  • Broadcast: DAZN, Paramount+

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In an exciting clash at the Olimpico Stadium in Rome, Italy, Genoa (0-1-4) will take on AS Roma (4-1-0) this Saturday. Betting odds favor AS Roma at -160, with Genoa close behind at +132. The over/under line is set at 3. Anticipated goalkeepers for the match include Pierluigi Gollini for AS Roma and Justin Bijlow for Genoa.

Paulo Dybala AS Roma predictions best bet odds

AS Roma boasts a solid record this season, having accumulated 17 saves and achieving an impressive save rate of 85.0%. They have scored 14 goals while conceding only 3, boasting a remarkable goal differential of +11. Currently, AS Roma ranks 18th for expected goals (xG) with a tally of 19.2 and is also noted for their defensive structure, allowing just 18.0 in expected goals against (xGA). The Yellow and Reds have received 11 yellow cards and a single red card. In terms of goals conceded, they are limiting opponents to an average of only 0.60 goals per 90 minutes, with 20 shots on target faced. With 4 clean sheets, AS Roma’s clean sheet rate is a strong 80.0%. The team averages 2.60 points per game (total 13 points) and ranks 4th in European soccer with 9 assists.

Genoa C.F.C. has struggled thus far this season, achieving an average of 0.2 points per match, with a total of 5 assists and 1 red card issued. Their current save percentage stands at 59.3% (27 shots on target against), placing them at 19th in European soccer with just 1 point. Genoa has found the net 3 times this campaign, with an expected goals (xG) of 21.1. The club has received 17 yellow cards and ranks 15th in goals conceded, having allowed 11 goals with a negative goal differential of -8. Their goals against per 90 minutes is reported at 2.20, with 16 saves thus far.

Pierluigi Gollini is expected to take the goalkeeping duties for AS Roma. With a career spanning 17,596 minutes, Gollini has recorded 447 saves. The Italian goalkeeper has faced 670 shots over 197 career starts, allowing an average of 1.20 goals per 90 minutes (total 234 goals conceded) and maintaining a save percentage of 66.7%. With a career record of 87 wins, 58 draws, and 53 losses, Gollini has secured 52 clean sheets, resulting in a clean sheet rate of 26.6%.

Justin Bijlow will likely guard the net for Genoa. Throughout his career, Bijlow has allowed 175 goals and made 331 saves across 154 starts. He boasts a save percentage of 68.8% and a clean sheet rate of 32.2%. Conceding an average of 1.15 goals per 90 minutes, Bijlow has achieved a career record of 87 wins, 29 draws, and 38 losses, along with 49 shutouts while facing 481 shots in 13,691 minutes of action.

One key player for AS Roma is Paulo Dybala, who could be pivotal in swinging the match in their favor. The Argentine forward has netted 181 goals in 35,083 minutes. Dybala has started in 409 matches, scoring 0.46 goals per 90 minutes and providing 91 assists for a career total of 453 points.

On the other side, Genoa is driven by the talents of Stephan El Shaarawy, who poses a significant threat on the field. The Italian defender has logged 27,894 minutes, scoring 99 goals, with an average of 0.32 goals per 90 minutes and starting in 302 matches. Throughout his career, he has tallied 252 points and has contributed with 54 assists.

Who will emerge victorious in today’s contest against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Genoa (-160)

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Pick: Genoa (-160)
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