Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces Preview, 9/21/2025 WNBA Predictions, Tips, and Odds

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• Matchup: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Scheduled Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• Broadcasting: ABC

The Indiana Fever (24-20) will travel to the Michelob ULTRA Arena on Sunday to face off against the Las Vegas Aces (30-14) in Game 1 of the WNBA Semifinals. The Aces enter the matchup as 8.5-point favorites, with an over/under set at 160.5.

In their previous game, the Indiana Fever secured a narrow victory over the Atlanta Dream, finishing 87-85. Indiana achieved a field goal percentage of 41.6%, converting 32 of 77 attempts and hitting 6 out of 22 three-point shots. At the free-throw line, they scored 17 of their 24 attempts for a success rate of 70.8%. On the boards, the Fever grabbed 37 rebounds, including 5 offensive boards. They also tallied 16 assists, forced 13 turnovers from the opposition, and secured 5 steals. Defensively, Indiana allowed Atlanta to shoot 50.0% from the field, with the Dream connecting on 37 of 74 shots. Atlanta recorded 5 assists and 9 steals, while collecting 27 rebounds (5 offensive, 22 defensive) and blocked 2 shots. The Dream managed to convert only 5 of their 11 free throws, finishing with a 45.5% free-throw percentage and hitting 6 out of 23 three-pointers.

Kelsey Mitchell was a standout player in this contest, finishing with 24 points on 7 of 16 shooting. She played for 35 minutes and also recorded 2 rebounds, achieving a shooting percentage of 43.8% from the field along with 1 assist.

Indiana enters this matchup with a record of 24-20 for the season. They average 84.9 points per game, ranking 3rd in the WNBA, with a shooting percentage of 45.6%. The Fever connect on 34.6% of their three-point attempts (365 out of 1,056) and have a free-throw accuracy of 77.0%. Collectively, Indiana pulls down 33.4 rebounds per game and has made 906 assists this season, placing them 7th in the league for passing efficiency. They average 12.8 turnovers per game and commit 18.6 fouls per contest. On the defensive side, the Fever force 14.1 turnovers while conceding 19.0 fouls. Opponents shoot 44.9% from the field against them (621 out of 838) and the Fever allow an average of 32.7 rebounds per game. They are 4th in the league for assists allowed, with 852 given up this year, and restrict opponents to a 32.9% shooting rate from beyond the arc, ranking them 8th in average points allowed per game at 81.5.

In their most recent game, the Las Vegas Aces triumphed over the Seattle Storm, ending with a score of 74-73. The Aces secured 23 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards, totaling 27 rebounds for the game. They committed 13 turnovers while amassing 11 steals. The Storm had 16 personal fouls, giving the Aces 17 free-throw opportunities, of which they converted 15 for an impressive 88.2% success rate. From three-point range, Las Vegas made 25% of their attempts, sinking 3 out of 12. Overall, they shot 28 for 61 from the field, achieving a shooting percentage of 45.9%. The Aces allowed the Storm to hit 26 out of 65 field goal attempts, equating to a 40.0% shooting rate for Seattle. The Storm finished at 38.9% from three-point territory, converting 7 out of 18 attempts, and ended the match with 14 out of 18 made free throws for a 77.8% success rate. Las Vegas permitted Seattle to collect 33 rebounds overall, including 9 offensive boards.

A’ja Wilson was pivotal for the Aces in this game, achieving 38 points on 14 of 26 shooting for a field goal percentage of 53.8%, in addition to grabbing 5 rebounds. She played for 37 minutes and contributed 3 assists.

Las Vegas holds a record of 30-14 for the year. The Aces have scored a total of 3,680 points this season, averaging 83.6 points per game. They also average 33.5 rebounds per game, committing 16.6 personal fouls per contest and achieving an 82.4% free-throw success rate. Offensively, the Aces have a field goal percentage of 43.9%, placing them 8th in the league. They make 19.6 assists per game, ranking 9th in this category, and they average 11.9 turnovers per game. Defensively, Las Vegas ranks 7th in points allowed, with an average of 80.7 points per game. They permit 20.4 assists and 35.0 rebounds per game, both of which place them 9th in the league. Their defense allows 31.6% shooting from three-point range (318 out of 1,007) while opponents hit 81.5% of their free throws. The Aces force 12.5 turnovers per game and restrict opponents to a field goal percentage of 43.6%, which ranks them 6th defensively.

Who will prevail in tonight’s WNBA matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Take Indiana (+8.5)