- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Event Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Boston (+102), Toronto (-122)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (90-66) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (85-71) at the Rogers Centre this Tuesday. The betting odds favor Boston at +102 while Toronto is set at -122. The over/under for this matchup is established at 9 runs. Starting pitchers for the game are Lucas Giolito and Kevin Gausman.
This season, the Boston Red Sox have accumulated 307 doubles and hit 182 home runs as a team. Their slugging percentage stands at .423, with 1,350 strikeouts and 499 walks recorded. Boston averages 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 5th in the league. They have achieved 724 RBIs and 1,355 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .254 and scoring a total of 762 runs with an on-base percentage of .324.
The Red Sox currently boast a team ERA of 3.74, placing them 6th in Major League Baseball. They have struck out 1,302 batters while allowing 159 home runs and a total of 653 runs (11th in MLB). Red Sox pitchers have issued 506 walks, resulting in a collective FIP of 4.01 for the season. Furthermore, they have surrendered 1,285 hits, equating to 8.3 hits per nine innings, and allowed 576 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.57, with a WHIP of 1.29.
The Boston bullpen holds a save percentage of 60.6%, engaging in 155 save situations this season. They’ve inherited 208 runners; 32.7% of these have scored. The relief corps has been utilized in high-leverage situations 186 times and sent 513 pitchers to the mound so far this season. With 82 holds (18th in MLB), they have achieved 43 saves, having failed to convert 28 of their 71 save opportunities.
In total, the Red Sox have converted 69.0% of batted balls into outs over 12,486 innings, ranking 23rd in the majors. The team has 4,162 putouts, 1,406 assists, and 111 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .980, which ranks them 30th in the league, while completing 124 double plays.
Lucas Giolito has pitched 1,153 innings, racking up 1,195 strikeouts throughout his MLB career, with a 4.32 ERA (allowing 553 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.258. He has given up 1,014 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 437 walks, holding a career win-loss record of 71-66 and a FIP of 4.25 against 4,850 batters faced
The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .426 and score an average of 4.90 runs per game, which ranks 6th in the league. This season, they’ve tallied 280 doubles, walked 498 times, and scored 760 runs. Toronto has also hit 182 home runs, resulting in 734 RBIs. They’ve struck out 1,049 times (29th in the league) and accumulated 1,405 hits, establishing a team OBP of .334 and a batting average of .266 this year.
Toronto’s pitching staff has an overall WHIP of 1.272 and a FIP of 4.32. They rank 13th in allowing total hits, with 1,256 surrendered. The Blue Jays have given up 697 runs this season, leading to a team ERA of 4.22 (644 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.90, with 1,367 strikeouts against 493 walks, while they’ve allowed 204 long balls and an average of 4.56 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).
In 160 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 91 holds and 23 blown saves. Their bullpen has participated in 63 save chances, successfully converting 40 into saves. They have entered high-leverage situations 153 times and 170 times with runners on base, achieving a 28.1% inherited scoring percentage out of 242 inherited runners. Their save rate of 63.5% ranks 16th in the MLB, and they have sent 540 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
The Toronto Blue Jays have executed 110 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors). With 1,206 assists, 84 errors, and 4,125 putouts this season, their defensive efficiency rests at 70.0%, positioning them 14th in MLB.
Over his career, Gausman has allowed 1,818 hits while achieving 1,942 strikeouts over 1,901 innings. He has yielded a total of 802 earned runs, securing a WHIP of 1.236 and a FIP of 3.7. Gausman has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.65, having faced 7,939 opposing hitters. With a career record of 112-112, he boasts a 3.80 ERA, allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Boston (+102)
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