Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees Forecast, 9/23/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees Forecast, 9/23/2025 MLB Selections, Top Bets & Odds
  • Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees
  • Scheduled Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
  • Broadcast: YES Network
  • Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox (+106) New York Yankees (-128)

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On Tuesday, the New York Yankees (88-68) are set to face off against the Chicago White Sox (58-98) at Yankee Stadium. The current moneyline for this matchup shows the White Sox at +106 while the Yankees are at -128. The over/under for the game is established at 8 runs, with starting pitchers Shane Smith and Luis Gil taking the mound.

Cody Bellinger MLB predictions for New York Yankees

The Chicago White Sox have struggled offensively, averaging just 4.0 runs per game, which places them 26th in the league. They have totaled 616 runs, maintaining a team on-base percentage of .302. The offense has hit 233 doubles and 156 home runs, accumulating 595 RBIs alongside 1,196 hits, resulting in a batting average of .233. Their slugging percentage rests at .373, with 1,302 strikeouts this season compared to 477 walks.

The White Sox pitching staff holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.36, having allowed 176 home runs and 708 runs, ranking 21st overall. They have given up 1,274 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 639 earned runs. This results in a team ERA of 4.24 (20th in the league) and 1,210 strikeouts for the season. Opposing batters have drawn 570 walks against them, with a FIP of 4.47.

This season, a total of 505 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the White Sox. Their relievers inherited 226 runners, with a scoring rate of 31.9%. They have 24 saves from 45 opportunities, marking a save percentage of 53.3%. Furthermore, White Sox relievers have recorded 66 holds, placing them 27th in the league. They have appeared in high-leverage situations 144 times this season.

Defensively, the White Sox have executed 4,069 putouts, 1,225 assists, and committed 96 errors, culminating in a .982 fielding percentage (28th in the majors) and 125 double plays. They convert 69.8% of balls in play into outs over 12,207 innings, ranking 19th in the league.

Shane Smith has pitched 135 innings throughout his career, collecting 129 strikeouts. With a career record of 6-8, he holds a FIP of 4.00 and has faced 574 batters. Smith’s ERA is 4.06 after allowing 61 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.221 and 54 walks against 111 hits (7.4 per nine innings).

The New York Yankees, on the other hand, have an on-base percentage of .330 and a batting average of .250. Their offense has struck out 1,391 times (3rd in the league) and totals 1,310 hits while achieving 261 home runs and 781 RBIs. The Yankees have an outstanding slugging percentage of .454, averaging 5.22 runs per game (1st in the league) alongside 247 doubles, 603 walks, and 809 runs scored.

The Yankees’ pitching has allowed 671 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.00 (611 earned runs). They have surrendered 167 home runs, yielding 4.39 runs per nine innings (17th in MLB). The staff’s WHIP stands at 1.263, with a FIP of 4.01 and a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (1,375 strikeouts and 534 walks). Collectively, they rank 6th overall for hits allowed, with 1,203.

In terms of the bullpen, the Yankees have faced 159 save situations, registering 95 holds and 21 blown saves. They have converted 41 saves out of 62 opportunities, while their relievers have appeared in 156 high-leverage situations. The inherited runners have scored at a rate of 28.2% from 248 total inherited. Ranking 7th in save percentage at 66.1%, 509 relief pitchers have contributed this season.

Defensively, the Yankees have turned 104 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in MLB). They have made 1,341 assists, committed 90 errors, and achieved 4,127 putouts this year. Their defensive efficiency stands strong at 70.4% through 12,381 innings.

Luis Gil has recorded 169 hits against him in his MLB career, striking out 250 batters across 231 innings pitched. His career record is 20-9 with a 3.51 ERA, allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up 90 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.281 and a FIP of 3.5. Gil has a 1.97 strikeout-to-walk ratio, facing 986 batters during his career.

Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB game, covering the spread or securing the moneyline?

Pick: Choose Chicago (+106)

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Pick: Chicago White Sox (+106)
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