- Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: CLEGuardians.TV
- Betting Odds: Texas (+172) Cleveland (-210)
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
On Saturday, Progressive Field will host a thrilling encounter as the Cleveland Guardians (86-72) take on the Texas Rangers (80-78). The betting lines feature Texas at +172, while Cleveland stands at -210. The total runs expected for this matchup is 8. The projected starting pitchers include Merrill Kelly and Joey Cantillo.
The Texas Rangers boast a slugging percentage of .383 and have struck out 1,288 times, with 482 walks taken this season. They’ve managed to drive in 641 runs and secured 1,247 hits. The team’s batting average currently stands at .235, with a total of 238 doubles and 172 home runs recorded. Texas has collectively scored 667 runs and maintains an on-base percentage of .304, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which ranks 22nd in the league.
The Rangers’ pitching staff maintains a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.89 and a collective WHIP of 1.18. They have allowed 166 home runs and 586 runs total, leading the league in runs allowed. The team has given up 1,202 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and 539 earned runs this season, boasting a stellar team ERA of 3.45 (1st in the league) while striking out 1,307 batters. Their walks total stands at 453, with a FIP of 3.88 for the year.
This season, Rangers’ relief pitchers have taken the mound 511 times, inheriting 255 base runners, with 28.6% of those scoring. They have collected 37 saves, but have also blown 28 of their 65 save opportunities, leading to a save percentage of 56.9%. The bullpen has logged 79 holds this season (23rd in MLB) and been called into 149 save situations, with opponents on base 181 times.
Defensively, the Rangers have converted 72.0% of balls in play to outs, ranking them 1st in MLB. The team has recorded a total of 4,222 putouts, 1,339 assists, and only 52 errors, giving them a .991 fielding percentage—the best in baseball—with 121 double plays executed.
Merrill Kelly, with a lifetime record of 65-53, has faced 4,143 batters in his career, posting a FIP of 3.71. He has allowed 907 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 300 walks. His ERA is 3.77 (422 ER’s allowed), with a WHIP of 1.197 across 1,008 innings, accruing 911 strikeouts.
The Guardians hold a slugging percentage of .373 and score an average of 3.96 runs per game (26th in MLB). With 236 doubles and 483 walks taken, they’ve accumulated 626 runs and launched 164 home runs. The team has struck out 1,308 times (18th in MLB) and gathered 1,172 hits, while their on-base percentage sits at .297 with a batting average of .226.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.265 and a FIP of 3.96 for the season. Currently, they rank 11th in baseball for total hits allowed (1,258). They’ve given up 628 runs this season, with a 3.68 ERA (574 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is an impressive 8.60 (1,341 strikeouts to 519 walks), allowing 163 home runs and averaging 4.02 runs surrendered per nine innings (5th in the league).
The Guardians’ relievers face a 33.2% inherited scoring rate out of 202 inherited runners. They’ve come in during high-leverage situations 188 times, with 147 of those instances involving base runners. In 184 save situations, Cleveland’s relievers have earned 112 holds and have blown 22 saves, currently ranking 5th in the league with a 68.1% save percentage, deploying 517 relief pitchers this season and making 47 saves.
With 121 double plays executed, the Guardians have a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in the league). So far, they’ve recorded 1,305 assists, 96 errors, and 4,215 putouts. Over 12,645 innings played, Cleveland has a defensive efficiency rate of 69.8% (17th in the league).
Joey Cantillo, with a career record of 7-7, has a 3.74 ERA and allows 7.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.53, and he has faced 544 opposing batters throughout his career. Cantillo has yielded 53 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.311 and a FIP of 3.7. In 127 innings pitched, he has allowed 110 hits and recorded 144 strikeouts.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash, both against the spread and on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Cleveland (-210)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
