- Matchup: Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen
- Event Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen favored by -10.5
- Over/Under Total: 49 points
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The Navy Midshipmen (4-0) are set to face the Air Force Falcons (1-3) at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The Midshipmen are currently favored by 10.5 points, with the total score anticipated to be 49 points.
The Air Force Falcons enter this contest with a season record of 1-3. In their most recent outing, they faced the Hawaii Warriors, suffering a defeat with a score of 44-35. Throughout that game, they executed 47 plays for a total of 494 yards. The Falcons ran the ball 34 times, accumulating 216 yards at an impressive average of 6.4 yards per carry. However, defensively, they allowed 78 rushing yards on 31 attempts, averaging 2.5 yards per carry. In the passing game, the Falcons conceded 35 completions on 47 attempts for a total of 457 yards, resulting in a completion rate of 74.5%.
This season, the Falcons have generated a total of 1,879 yards. They have managed to score 7 touchdowns through the air and 13 on the ground, but have also turned the ball over 5 times. With 87 first downs, they’ve incurred 20 penalties totaling 168 yards. Averaging 254.3 rushing yards per game places them 7th nationally. In scoring, the Falcons average 37.8 points per game.
Defensively, Air Force has given up a total of 1,223 passing yards, ranking them 120th in Division 1. They allow an average of 305.8 passing yards per game with a completion percentage against of 70.0%. Overall, the Falcons allow 466.5 yards per game, putting them at 128th nationwide. They have surrendered 8 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns this season. Opponents average 4.8 yards per rush and 160.8 rushing yards per game against them, totaling 643 rushing yards allowed across 4 games. The Falcons are struggling defensively, ranked 131st in the nation for points allowed at 38.8 per game.
The Navy Midshipmen are enjoying a perfect 4-0 start this season. In their last game, they secured a win against the Rice Owls, finishing 21-13. During that matchup, they allowed 39 rushing attempts for 120 yards (3.1 yards per carry). In the passing game, Navy defended well, allowing a completion rate of 57.1% and 114 yards on 12 completions from 21 attempts. Offensively, Navy executed 61 plays for 455 total yards, averaging 7.5 yards per play, while their rushing game tallied an impressive 283 yards on 48 carries at an average of 5.9 yards per attempt.
In terms of scoring, the Midshipmen rank 25th nationally, averaging 38.3 points per contest. Their offensive lineup amasses an average of 483.8 yards, positioning them 15th in the country. The Navy offense has committed 26 penalties totaling 256 yards, ranking 72nd in college football for mistakes. They’ve thrown 3 interceptions and lost 1 fumble, but have successfully secured 90 first downs. Over the current season, the Midshipmen have recorded 526 passing yards, with an average of 131.5 passing yards per game, placing them 130th in the nation. However, their ground game excels, averaging 352.3 yards per game with a total of 1,409 rushing yards.
Defensively, Navy has allowed 367 rushing yards this season (averaging 91.8 yards per game) and 3 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they have conceded 5 touchdowns along with an average of 205.3 passing yards per contest, ranking them 59th nationally. Overall, they have permitted a total of 67 points. Navy’s defense has recovered 2 fumbles and intercepted 3 passes this season. They have participated in 240 defensive plays, ranking 16th in Division 1, with an average points allowed of 16.8 per game, placing them 30th nationally.
Who will emerge victorious in this thrilling Falcons vs. Midshipmen matchup?
Selection: Bet on the Midshipmen -10.5
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