Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies Prediction for 10/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies Prediction for 10/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
  • Broadcast: TBS
  • Betting Odds: Los Angeles (+105), Philadelphia (-125)

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In an exciting postseason showdown, the Philadelphia Phillies (96-66) will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69) at Citizens Bank Park for Game 1 of the NL Division Series. This intriguing matchup features the Dodgers with betting odds of +105 while the Phillies sit at -125. The over/under for this contest is set at 7 runs, with anticipated starting pitchers Shohei Ohtani and Cristopher Sanchez taking the mound.

MLB Predictions for Phillies vs Dodgers Game

The Dodgers have made an impressive mark this season with 257 doubles and a total of 244 home runs. They currently boast a slugging percentage of .441 and have recorded 1,353 strikeouts while drawing 580 walks. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in Major League Baseball (MLB). They have produced 791 RBIs and 1,384 hits, maintaining a .253 batting average alongside 825 runs and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .327.

Los Angeles’s pitching staff has a collective ERA of 3.95, placing them 17th in the league, and they have achieved 1,505 strikeouts throughout the season. The team has surrendered 175 home runs and allowed 683 runs, ranking 12th in the league. Their pitchers have walked 563 batters, and the team’s Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.93. With a WHIP of 1.26, the pitching unit has given up 1,250 hits (averaging 7.8 per 9 innings) and 633 earned runs. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.67 and have faced high-leverage situations 186 times this season, leading to 128 holds, the highest in the league.

This season, Dodgers’ relievers have recorded a 63.0% save rate, converting 46 out of 73 save opportunities. With 230 inherited runners, 26.1% of those have scored. The bullpen has supported the team with a total of 581 appearances from various relief pitchers.

Defensively, the Dodgers have recorded 4,323 putouts, 1,346 assists, and 68 errors, securing a fielding percentage of .988 (ranking 6th in MLB). Additionally, they have successfully turned 102 double plays, converting 70.4% of balls in play into outs over 12,969 innings.

Starting pitcher Shohei Ohtani has thrown 528 innings in his MLB career, recording 670 strikeouts with a 3.00 ERA and a WHIP of 1.079. He has allowed 388 hits, averaging 6.6 hits per 9 innings, and has issued 182 walks, boasting a career win-loss record of 39-20 and a FIP of 2.95, facing 2,139 batters overall.

This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have hit 212 home runs and amassed 753 RBIs. They have recorded 268 doubles and walked 528 times, accumulating 778 runs. With a team batting average of .258 and an OBP of .328, the Phillies have achieved a slugging percentage of .431, scoring an average of 4.80 runs per game, placing them 8th in the league. They have 1,426 hits and 1,337 strikeouts, ranking 19th in the league.

On the mound, the Phillies’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.234 and a FIP of 3.71. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio currently stands at 9.20, with a total of 1,471 strikeouts and 435 walks allowed. They have surrendered 1,342 hits and 177 home runs this season, allowing 4.05 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). Overall, their collective ERA is 3.79, with 648 runs allowed this season, including 607 earned runs.

The Phillies’ bullpen has faced 160 save situations, achieving 83 holds and 27 blown saves. They have converted 47 out of 74 save opportunities, with 506 relief pitchers stepping onto the mound this year, 179 of whom were used in high-pressure situations.

With 12,963 innings played, Philadelphia ranks 21st in MLB with a defensive efficiency of 69.1%. They have turned 105 double plays and achieved a .989 fielding percentage (5th in the league), with 1,383 assists, 62 errors, and 4,321 putouts recorded this season.

In his career, Cristopher Sanchez has pitched 535 innings, giving up 495 hits and achieving 509 strikeouts. He has a career record of 30-21 with a 3.25 ERA and has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings, with 193 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.164, and a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.98, having faced 2,193 opposing batters in his major league career.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s thrilling MLB matchup? Will the Dodgers cover the spread or secure victory on the moneyline?

Prediction: Bet on Los Angeles (+105)

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Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (+105)
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