- Game: Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers
- Date: Tuesday, October 7, 2025
- Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- TV: FS1
- Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (-150) Detroit (+125)
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The Seattle Mariners (90-72) are set to challenge the Detroit Tigers (87-75) on Tuesday at Comerica Park for Game 3 of the ALDS, with the series all tied at 1-1. The Mariners enter the game with odds of -150, while the Tigers are positioned at +125. The over/under for this matchup is set at 7.5 runs, with Logan Gilbert and Jack Flaherty expected to take the mound.
The Seattle Mariners are averaging 4.7 runs per contest, currently ranking 10th in Major League Baseball. They have amassed a total of 766 runs with an on-base percentage of .320. The Mariners have hit 234 doubles and cranked out 238 home runs this season. With 734 RBIs and 1,345 hits, their batting average sits at .244. Seattle boasts a slugging percentage of .420 but has struck out 1,446 times, drawing walks on 544 occasions.
The Mariners’ pitching staff features a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.22. They have allowed 192 home runs and a total of 694 runs, ranking 17th overall. Seattle pitchers have given up 1,331 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings), resulting in 629 earned runs and an ERA of 3.87 (13th in MLB). The team has recorded 1,426 strikeouts and issued 454 walks, with their FIP standing at 3.98 for the season.
This year, the Mariners have utilized 550 relief pitchers, with their bullpen inheriting 147 base runners, 25.2% of whom scored. They have totaled 43 saves, missing the mark on 26 of their 69 save opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 62.3%. Mariners’ relievers have entered in 159 save situations, earning 90 holds (ranking 13th in MLB). They have taken the field with runners on base 132 times, contributing to 216 high-leverage situations.
On defense, the Seattle Mariners have recorded 4,388 putouts, 1,355 assists, and 69 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .988, ranking 7th in baseball, with 118 double plays executed. The Mariners convert 70.3% of balls in play into outs across 13,164 innings, placing them 12th in the league.
Logan Gilbert has pitched 835 innings in his career, totaling 884 strikeouts with a 3.58 ERA (allowing 332 earned runs). His career WHIP is 1.059, yielding 703 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 181 walks. With a career record of 47-36, Gilbert holds a FIP of 3.52 after facing 3,377 batters in the majors.
The Detroit Tigers have posted a team slugging percentage of .413, averaging 4.68 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have accumulated 244 doubles, 511 walks, and 758 runs. The Tigers have belted 198 home runs this season and recorded 724 RBIs, while striking out 1,454 times (5th in the league) and achieving 1,346 hits. Their on-base percentage stands at .316, and they have a team batting average of .247.
As a team, the Tigers’ WHIP is 1.249, and their FIP is 4.05. They rank 13th in hits allowed, with 1,309, and have conceded 691 runs, boasting a team ERA of 3.95 (630 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.60, with a total of 1,375 strikeouts versus 485 walks. They have permitted 187 home runs and concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).
The Detroit relief staff has entered 62 save opportunities, securing 40 saves with a save percentage of 64.5% (14th in MLB). They have deployed 508 relief pitchers this season, with 140 high-leverage appearances and 182 outings with runners on base. The Detroit bullpen has an inherited score percentage of 28.7%, converting 75 holds and tallying 22 blown saves from 142 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Detroit Tigers have executed 128 double plays and carry a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in professional baseball). They have notched 1,379 assists, committed 79 errors, and collected 4,309 putouts in 12,927 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in MLB).
In his career, Jack Flaherty has allowed 836 hits while striking out 1,130 batters over 990 innings. He boasts a 3.80 earned run average and has given up 418 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.199 and a FIP of 3.7. With a K/BB ratio of 3.22, Flaherty has faced 4,120 hitters throughout his career.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s thrilling MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Grab Seattle (-150)
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