Game: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros
Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
Location: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Broadcast: Space City Home Network
Betting Odds: Texas (+125) Houston (-150)
On Saturday at Daikin Park, the Houston Astros (55-38) will host the Texas Rangers (46-48). The Rangers are positioned at +125 underdogs against the Astros, who are favored at -150. The over/under is set at 9 runs. The game features starting pitchers Jacob deGrom and Framber Valdez.

The Texas Rangers have a slugging percentage of .372 and have struck out 758 times this season, earning 282 walks. With 362 RBIs and 726 hits this year, their batting average is currently .231. The Rangers collectively have made 135 doubles and hit 97 home runs, totaling 377 runs and a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .300. They are averaging 4.0 runs per game, placing them 25th in MLB.
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The Rangers boast an impressive team ERA of 3.31 (1st in MLB) and have struck out 742 batters. They’ve allowed 84 home runs and 337 runs overall (also 1st in the league), while issuing 261 walks. Their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 3.65 this season. Allowing 715 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 306 earned runs demonstrates their robust performance. The Rangers have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.84 and a combined WHIP of 1.17.
This season, the Rangers’ bullpen has a save success rate of 61.0%, entering 98 save situations. They have inherited 139 runners, with 34.5% of those scoring. Rangers relievers have appeared with men on base 97 times and participated in 108 high-leverage scenarios. The team has utilized 292 relievers this season, achieving 54 holds (13th in MLB) with 25 saves from 41 opportunities.
The Rangers have converted 71.9% of balls in play into outs over their 7,497 innings, ranking them 1st in Major League Baseball. They have recorded 2,499 putouts, 841 assists, and 31 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .991, placing them atop the league, along with 70 double plays.
Jacob deGrom has thrown 1,473 innings in his career, amassing 1,771 strikeouts. With a career record of 93-59, he maintains a FIP of 2.47, having faced 5,784 batters. His ERA is 2.50 (410 earned runs allowed), and he has a WHIP of 0.988, allowing just 1,125 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and issuing 331 walks.
On the other hand, the Astros have a team slugging percentage of .411 and score an average of 4.40 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have recorded 140 doubles and drawn 271 walks while accumulating 409 runs. With 105 home runs, they have also achieved 390 RBIs. The Astros have struck out 722 times (25th in the league) and registered 815 hits, yielding a team OBP of .325 and a batting average of .260.
The Astros’ staff has a WHIP of 1.162 and a FIP of 3.67. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 9.70 (889 strikeouts vs. 272 walks). In total hits allowed, they lead MLB with 686, having surrendered 103 home runs, yielding an average of 3.78 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Houston pitching staff has allowed 346 runs with an ERA of 3.58 (328 earned runs).
Astros’ relievers have inherited 27.1% of 96 base runners, having appeared 94 times in critical situations and 66 times with runners on base. With 100 save chances, they have achieved 60 holds and 9 blown saves, ranking 1st in MLB with a 76.9% save success rate. Houston has deployed 284 relievers this season and converted 30 out of 39 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Astros have recorded 58 double plays this season, maintaining a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in MLB). They have registered 720 assists, committed 40 errors, and achieved 2,474 putouts. Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.1% across 7,422 innings (8th in MLB).
Framber Valdez has given up 832 hits and struck out 981 batters in 1,003 innings pitched in his career. He has allowed 363 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.190 and a FIP of 3.2. Valdez holds a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and has faced 4,148 batters, posting a career record of 78-45 and an ERA of 3.26 while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Houston (-150)
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