- Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
- Broadcast: ABC
- Betting Odds: Bulldogs (+5.5)
- Over/Under: 59.5
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This exciting contest at Davis Wade Stadium features the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-0) facing off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The Crimson Tide are currently favored by 5.5 points, with a betting total set at 59.5.
The Alabama Crimson Tide enter this matchup with an undefeated 4-0 record this season. In their latest outing, Alabama achieved a decisive victory over the South Carolina Gamecocks, winning 49-18. On defense, Alabama allowed 216 rushing yards on 40 attempts (averaging 5.4 yards per carry) and recorded 20 completions out of 33 passes for 203 yards, achieving a completion rate of 60.6%. Overall, the Crimson Tide ran 57 plays that accumulated a total of 489 yards. Offensively, Alabama rushed 30 times for 124 yards, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.
In terms of scoring, the Alabama Crimson Tide boast an impressive average of 48.0 points per game. Their rushing attack averages 188.3 yards per game, placing them 41st nationally. For the season, Alabama has amassed a total of 1,886 yards. The team has scored 8 touchdowns through the air and 13 rushing touchdowns. Alabama has recorded 95 first downs while accruing 25 penalties for 165 yards and turning the ball over 4 times.
Defensively, the Crimson Tide have allowed 886 passing yards, ranking them 89th in Division 1. They give up an average of 221.5 yards in passing every game, with a completion percentage against of 58.3%. Collectively, they permit 315.3 yards per game, coming in at 47th in college football. So far, Alabama has allowed 5 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns, with opposing teams averaging 2.9 yards per carry and 93.8 rushing yards per game. Overall, they have surrendered a total of 375 rushing yards in 4 games, standing in 47th place nationally for points allowed, with an average of 20.3 points per game.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs also stand undefeated with a 4-0 record this season. Their most recent game ended with a 31-24 victory over the Missouri Tigers. In that game, the Bulldogs allowed 35 rushing attempts, resulting in 119 yards (3.4 yards per rush). Defensively, Mississippi State’s pass defense recorded a completion percentage against of 57.5%, allowing 295 yards on 23 completions from 40 attempts. The Bulldogs amassed a total of 499 yards while running 78 plays, averaging 6.4 yards per play. On the ground, they averaged 3.5 yards per carry, finishing with 139 yards on 40 attempts.
The Bulldogs maintain an impressive average of 533.3 yards per game, placing them 4th in college football. They have accrued 320 penalty yards over 36 infractions, ranking them 10th in college football for mistakes. Mississippi State’s rushing game averages 217.8 yards per contest, totaling 871 yards this season. They have recorded 2 interceptions and have allowed 1 fumble recovery for opponents while securing 109 first downs. In terms of scoring, the Bulldogs rank 15th nationally, averaging 43.0 points per game. Through 2026, they have achieved 1,262 passing yards with an average of 315.5 passing yards per game, putting them at 13th in Division 1.
Defensively, Mississippi State has allowed 419 rushing yards (104.8 yards per game) and a single rushing touchdown this season. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns through the air, allowing 249.0 passing yards per game, ranking 114th in Division 1. Overall, their defense has relinquished 84 points, recording no fumble recoveries with 2 interceptions. The Bulldogs’ defense has been on the field for 285 plays, ranking 115th nationally. They are allowing 21.0 points per game, placing them 53rd overall.
Who will prevail in this intense matchup between the Crimson Tide and Bulldogs against the spread?
Prediction: Choose the Crimson Tide -5.5
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