- Matchup: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs TCU Horned Frogs
- Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
- Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN+
- Betting Line: Horned Frogs favored by 20.5 points
- Total Points: 57
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The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-1) are set to face the TCU Horned Frogs (1-1) at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday, September 19, 2026. The Red Wolves enter the matchup as 20.5-point underdogs, with the total points expected at 57.
So far this season, Arkansas State boasts a 1-1 record. In their last outing, they triumphed over the West Georgia Wolves, clinching a dominant victory with a score of 52-7. During that game, the Red Wolves ran 57 plays and amassed 391 total yards. They excelled on the ground, rushing 40 times for a staggering 256 yards, averaging 6.4 yards per carry. Defensively, Arkansas State conceded 72 rushing yards on 24 attempts, which translates to 3.0 yards per attempt. In the air, the Red Wolves allowed 19 completions out of 34 passes for a total of 174 yards, achieving a completion rate of 55.9%.
In terms of scoring, the Arkansas State Red Wolves average 38.0 points per game. Their rushing game accounts for 182.5 yards per game, giving them a national ranking of 57. Overall, the Red Wolves have accumulated 825 total yards this season, with 3 touchdown passes and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have also registered 43 first downs while committing 11 penalties for a total of 97 yards, and they have turned the ball over 5 times.
Defensively, the Red Wolves have allowed 362 passing yards, placing them 52nd nationally. They give up an average of 181.0 passing yards per game with a completion rate against them of 63.3%. Overall, they are allowing 384.5 yards per game, which ranks them 105th in the nation, yielding 3 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. Opposing teams are averaging 5.7 yards per attempt on the ground against them, totaling 203.5 rushing yards per game. In their two games, the Red Wolves have allowed 407 rushing yards, ranking 89th in terms of points allowed at 24.5 points per game.
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this clash with a 1-1 record as well. In their previous match, they achieved a resounding victory against the Grambling State Tigers, scoring 63-7. During that contest, TCU racked up an impressive 676 yards on 69 plays, averaging 9.8 yards per play. They excelled on the ground as well, averaging 7.7 yards per rush, totaling 285 yards on 37 carries. Defensively, TCU limited their opponents to just 20 rushing yards on 28 attempts, averaging 0.7 yards per carry. In terms of pass defense, the Horned Frogs allowed a completion percentage of 56.0%, yielding 190 yards on 14 completions from 25 attempts.
TCU’s offense generates an average of 478.5 yards per game, ranking them 32nd nationwide. In terms of penalties, TCU has committed 16 infractions resulting in 150 penalty yards, which ranks them 37th in Division 1. They average 195.5 rushing yards per game, totaling 391 rushing yards this season without throwing any interceptions, but allowing 2 fumbles to be recovered by opponents, while securing 51 first downs. Scoring-wise, TCU sits at 46th nationally with an average of 36.5 points per game. Their passing game has amassed 566 yards so far, with an average of 283.0 passing yards per game, ranked 34th in the country.
Defensively, TCU has surrendered a total of 110 rushing yards (55.0 yards per game) along with 1 rushing touchdown this season. In the air, they’ve allowed 1 touchdown and 211.0 yards per game, ranking 75th in Division 1. Their defense has been proactive, forcing 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions thus far. The Horned Frogs have participated in 110 defensive plays, which ranks them 21st nationally, allowing an impressive average of 11.0 points per game, placing them 20th in Division 1.
Who will come out on top in this Red Wolves vs. Horned Frogs college football matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Take the Red Wolves +20.5
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