- Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
- Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- TV: MLB.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-152), Miami (+126)
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At LoanDepot Park, the Miami Marlins (21-25) aim to secure a victory against the Atlanta Braves (31-15) this Wednesday. The current moneyline has Atlanta at -152, while Miami stands at +126. The total runs for this matchup is projected at 9, with starting pitchers expected to be Chris Sale and Janson Junk.
The Braves have recorded a total of 80 doubles and 66 home runs so far this season. With a slugging percentage of .444, they have also racked up 367 strikeouts while drawing walks on 141 occasions. This stellar performance translates to an average of 5.3 runs per game, ranking them 2nd in the league. They have achieved 245 RBIs alongside 426 hits, boasting a batting average of .265 and scoring 250 runs, yielding a team on-base percentage of .328.
The Braves’ pitching staff has posted an impressive team ERA of 2.94, ranking them 1st in the league, with a total of 409 strikeouts. They have allowed 45 home runs and relinquished 152 total runs (1st in MLB). Their walk rate stands at 160, with a FIP of 3.81 this season. Atlanta has permitted 314 hits, averaging 6.7 per nine innings, with 137 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.56, and their WHIP is 1.13.
Throughout the season, the Braves have utilized 143 relievers, with 29.3% of inherited runners scoring. The bullpen has achieved 27 holds (10th in baseball) and has faced pressure situations 48 times, resulting in 15 saves out of 19 opportunities, yielding a save percentage of 78.9%.
In the field, the Atlanta Braves have accumulated 1,257 putouts, 383 assists, and 19 errors, boasting a solid fielding percentage of .989, ranking 9th in the league, along with 33 double plays. They convert 74.0% of balls in play into outs, leading the league in defensive efficiency.
Chris Sale has pitched 2,139 innings, accumulating 2,643 strikeouts in his professional career. With a career record of 151-91, a FIP of 2.94, and an ERA of 2.98 (709 earned runs allowed), he has a WHIP of 1.042 and has surrendered 1,728 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) alongside 501 walks.
The Miami Marlins, on the other hand, are operating with an on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .247 this season. They’ve struck out 377 times (ranked 20th in MLB) and recorded 386 hits, achieving 36 home runs and 190 RBIs. Their slugging percentage stands at .376, scoring 4.28 runs per game (18th in MLB), while they have registered 74 doubles and drawn 156 walks, accumulating a total of 201 runs.
Defensively, the Miami pitching staff has allowed 214 runs this season, with a 4.24 ERA (194 earned runs). They have given up 41 home runs and surrendered 4.67 runs per nine innings, ranking 20th in MLB. Their overall WHIP is 1.291, with a FIP of 3.92, achieving a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.50 (390 strikeouts against 178 walks). They are 7th in the league for total hits given up with 354.
Marlins’ bullpen pitchers have been called upon 143 times this season, facing 42 high-leverage situations and 34 instances with base runners. Holding a save rate of 60.0%, they have tallied 23 holds but have also recorded 8 blown saves in 44 save situations, successfully converting 12 saves out of 20 chances.
In their 3,714 innings this year, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.5%, which places them 13th in professional baseball. They have completed 33 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in the majors) with 384 assists, 34 errors, and 1,238 putouts for the season.
Janson Junk has yielded 221 hits during his career, with a total of 148 strikeouts over 200 innings pitched. Holding a career record of 9-11 and an earned run average of 4.68, he allows 9.9 hits per nine innings and has given up 104 earned runs. His WHIP stands at 1.290, along with a FIP of 4.6, and a K/BB ratio of 4.00 as he has faced 845 batters throughout his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Selection: Choose Miami (+126)
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