- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (-132) Miami (+110)
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The Atlanta Braves (93-66) are traveling to LoanDepot Park on Sunday to face off against the Miami Marlins (78-81). The odds for this matchup feature Atlanta at -132, while Miami opens at +110. The over/under total is set at 9 runs, with JR Ritchie and Janson Junk taking the mound.
This season, Atlanta boasts a slugging percentage of .411, recording 1,283 strikeouts and 458 walks. They have achieved 701 RBIs with a total of 1,332 hits and an average batting line of .248. As a team, the Braves have logged 249 doubles and launched 201 home runs, scoring a cumulative 731 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .311. Atlanta averages 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 8th in the MLB.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has achieved a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.24. The Braves’ pitchers have allowed 180 home runs and 615 runs total (5th in the league). They have given up 1,233 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and 569 earned runs, resulting in a season ERA of 3.62 (5th in MLB), striking out 1,336 batters. The team has issued 522 walks and sports a collective FIP of 4.09 this season.
The Braves’ bullpen has captured a save percentage of 71.0%, participating in 179 save situations. They have secured 49 saves from these chances, failing to convert 20 of 69 attempts. This season, relief pitchers have inherited 171 base runners, with 21.1% allowing a run. Overall, the Braves’ bullpen has been called into action 490 times, recording 105 holds, ranking 4th in MLB.
With a conversion rate of 71.4% of balls in play into outs, the Braves rank 5th in MLB defense across 12,717 innings. They have accumulated 4,239 putouts, complemented by 1,315 assists and 65 errors, giving them a .988 fielding percentage which places them 5th in the league, including 128 double plays turned.
Ritchie (1-4 career record) has a FIP of 4.75 after facing 300 batters. He has allowed 58 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and issued 41 walks. His career ERA stands at 4.82 (36 earned runs surrendered) and he maintains a WHIP of 1.473. Over 67 innings pitched in his career, Ritchie has accumulated 66 strikeouts.
On the other hand, the Marlins have a collective SLG% of .399, averaging 4.43 runs per game (17th in MLB). With 240 doubles, they have issued 545 walks and scored 704 runs, hitting 163 home runs alongside 674 RBIs. They have also struck out 1,323 times (16th in MLB) and achieved a total of 1,321 hits. This year, the Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .326 and are batting .248.
The Marlins’ pitching corps has a WHIP of 1.288 and a FIP of 4.16. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.30 (1,296 strikeouts to 554 walks). The staff gives up 1,250 hits, ranking them 8th in MLB, and has allowed 168 home runs, yielding 4.50 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The team’s overall ERA is 4.10 with 701 runs allowed this season.
Sitting 20th in the league, Miami’s save percentage is 59.6%, having deployed 535 relief pitchers this year. Their bullpen has entered 163 high leverage scenarios and 147 with runners on base. With 151 save opportunities, the Marlins have secured 89 holds, while experiencing 23 blown saves. In 57 save chances, they have earned 34 saves, and their inherited score percentage is 28.9% from 204 inherited runners.
Through 12,612 innings, Miami’s defensive efficiency stands at 70.5% (11th in MLB). The Marlins have turned 111 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (28th in the league). This season, they have recorded 1,336 assists, 98 errors, and achieved 4,204 putouts.
Junk (13-16 career record) possesses a 4.62 ERA, allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings. With a K/BB ratio of 3.48, he has faced 1,141 opposing batters. Throughout his professional career, Junk has permitted 138 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 4.5, yielding 296 hits and notching 195 strikeouts over 269 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Atlanta (-132)
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