- Game: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (-145), Philadelphia (+125)
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The Philadelphia Phillies (79-61) are set to face off against the Atlanta Braves (83-57) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The moneyline for this matchup sees the Braves at -145 and the Phillies at +125, with an over/under total of 9 runs. The starting pitchers are anticipated to be Martin Perez for Atlanta and Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia.
As a collective, the Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.7 runs per game, placing them 9th in Major League Baseball. They have succeeded in scoring a total of 653 runs, holding a .312 on-base percentage. The Braves have recorded 224 doubles and launched 178 home runs so far this season, accumulating 626 RBIs and 1,177 hits, resulting in a batting average of .249. With a slugging percentage of .413, they have struck out 1,140 times while drawing 407 walks.
The Braves pitching staff boasts a team earned run average of 3.58, ranking 3rd in MLB. They have tallied 1,187 strikeouts this season and allowed 152 home runs alongside 535 runs, positioning them at 3rd in the league. The Braves have issued 473 walks, with a FIP of 4.04 as a unit this year. Their pitchers have surrendered 1,079 hits (averaging 7.8 hits per nine innings) and 495 earned runs. They maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.51 and possess a WHIP of 1.25.
Throughout the season, the Braves have utilized 442 relief pitchers, with 154 inherited runners, of which 22.7% have scored. Their relief squad has posted 99 holds (3rd in MLB), and have appeared in 105 critical situations, achieving 43 saves but allowing 19 blown saves out of 62 opportunities, resulting in a 69.4% save percentage across 166 save scenarios.
The Atlanta Braves have recorded 3,729 putouts, 1,146 assists, and committed 61 errors, showcasing a fielding percentage of .988, placing them 8th in professional baseball. They have achieved 114 double plays and converted 71.2% of opportunities into outs over 11,187 innings of play, ranking 7th overall in the league.
Martin Perez has pitched for a total of 1,752 innings, racking up 1,244 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 99-101, Perez has a FIP of 4.25, having faced 7,569 batters. His earned run average stands at 4.32 (allowing 841 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.419 and having given up 1,847 hits (9.5 hits per nine innings), alongside 640 walks.
The Phillies are working with a team slugging percentage of .400, averaging 4.51 runs per game (13th in the league). They have recorded 202 doubles, 450 walks, and scored 631 runs, while launching 165 home runs, leading to a total of 611 RBIs. The Phillies have struck out 1,161 times (ranking 16th in MLB) and accumulated 1,139 hits, with an on-base percentage of .313 and a team batting average of .243 this season.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.282 and a FIP of 3.76 for the current season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 10.00 (1,374 strikeouts versus 423 walks). The pitching staff ranks 18th in total hits allowed with 1,169, giving up 163 home runs and allowing 4.31 runs per nine innings (10th in MLB). The Phillies have conceded 595 runs this season, sporting an ERA of 3.99 (551 earned runs allowed).
Philadelphia’s relief pitchers have seen an inheritance scoring rate of 34.9% from 146 inherited runners. Their bullpen has made 138 appearances in high-pressure scenarios, with 107 instances involving runners on base. Maintaining 122 save opportunities, the Phillies have recorded 64 holds with 18 blown saves, ranking 12th in MLB with a save percentage of 67.9%, and have implemented 462 relievers this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies have executed 83 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .986 (14th overall). Accumulating 1,151 assists, 70 errors, and 3,728 putouts for the season, they have logged 11,184 innings, yielding a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (28th in the majors).
Zack Wheeler (career record of 124-80) presents a 3.28 ERA, allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.72, having encountered 7,610 batters throughout his MLB career. Wheeler has given up 678 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.134 and a FIP of 3.20. Across 1,858 innings, he has permitted 1,576 hits while securing 1,974 strikeouts.
Who will emerge victorious in this MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Bet on Atlanta (-145)
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