- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (-122) St. Louis (+102)
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At Busch Stadium, the St. Louis Cardinals (49-44) will face off against the Atlanta Braves (54-39) this Sunday. The odds indicate Atlanta at -122 and St. Louis at +102, with a total set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers for the matchup are JR Ritchie and Dustin May.
As a collective unit, the Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 6th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated a total of 455 runs with an on-base percentage of .313. The Braves have recorded 145 doubles and launched 120 home runs this season, with a total of 440 RBIs and 782 hits, maintaining a batting average of .247. Their slugging percentage stands at .411, having struck out 748 times while earning 278 walks.
The Braves’ pitchers have recorded a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54, with a collective WHIP of 1.23. This season, they have allowed 105 home runs and given up a total of 361 runs, placing 4th in MLB. Atlanta’s defense has surrendered 706 hits (averaging 7.7 hits per 9 innings) alongside 330 earned runs, leading to a 3.60 ERA, which ranks also 4th in baseball. Additionally, the staff has struck out 789 batters with 311 walks, and their FIP is 4.10 this season.
Braves pitchers have made 294 relief appearances, inheriting 88 base runners, with 27.3% of them scoring. The bullpen has recorded 65 holds this season, ranking 3rd in MLB. The relief squad has entered high-leverage situations 97 times and has registered 27 saves from 37 opportunities, with a save rate of 73.0% in 105 save situations.
On defense, the Braves have converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs over 7,422 innings, positioning them 4th in the league. This season, they have logged 2,474 putouts, 766 assists, and 42 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987, which ranks 10th in professional baseball, including 73 double plays.
Starter JR Ritchie has pitched 45 innings, tallying 42 strikeouts in his MLB career. With a 1-2 win-loss record, he holds a FIP of 4.53 and has faced 200 batters, resulting in an ERA of 4.60 (23 earned runs allowed). His WHIP stands at 1.467, allowing 38 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) along with 28 walks.
The St. Louis Cardinals possess a team on-base percentage of .319, boasting a batting average of .243 this season. They rank 27th in strikeouts, having gone down on strikes 720 times, while notching 758 hits. With 106 home runs and 410 RBIs, the Cardinals average 4.54 runs per game (13th in MLB) and have achieved a slugging percentage of .393. This season, they have 130 doubles, walked 298 times, and scored a total of 422 runs.
The pitching staff for the Cardinals has a WHIP of 1.332 and a FIP of 4.16. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 7.60 (698 strikeouts vs. 310 walks), ranking them 23rd in MLB for total hits allowed (796). They have yielded 93 home runs and allow an average of 4.53 runs per game (14th in MLB). The Cardinals have conceded 418 runs this year, with a 4.17 ERA (385 earned runs allowed).
Ranking 16th in the league for save percentage (65.1%), the Cardinals have used 317 bullpen pitchers this season. Their relief staff has faced 107 high-leverage situations and 105 games with runners on base. In 108 save opportunities, St. Louis has secured 62 holds, while suffering 15 blown saves. They have converted 28 saves from 43 save opportunities, with a 35.7% inherited score rate from 154 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Cardinals have turned 82 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors). They have assisted 874 times, made 44 errors, and tallied 2,492 putouts this season. With a defensive efficiency of 69.7% over 7,476 innings, the Cardinals currently sit 17th in professional baseball.
Throughout his career, Dustin May has allowed 363 hits with 382 strikeouts across 413 innings pitched. He has given up 184 earned runs, boasting a WHIP of 1.211 and a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.79, having faced 1,725 batters with a career record of 24-26 and an earned run average of 4.01, yielding 7.9 hits per nine innings.
Who will come out on top in this thrilling MLB match against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Atlanta (-122)
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