- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Event Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
- Broadcast: FOX
- Point Spread: Buccaneers -2.5
- Over/Under Total: 45.5
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This Sunday’s game at Raymond James Stadium sees the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) hosting the Atlanta Falcons (3-4). Atlanta enters this contest as 2.5-point underdogs according to the oddsmakers, with the total set at 45.5 points.
The Atlanta Falcons come into this battle with a record of 3-4 this season. Their latest outing was a victory over the San Francisco 49ers, where they triumphed with a score of 29-20. Bijan Robinson led the Falcons’ rushing attack with 20 carries for 63 yards (3.2 yards per carry). Drake London excelled in receiving, averaging 9.4 yards per catch with 66 yards on 7 receptions. Quarterback Michael Penix completed 25 of 34 passes for 213 yards and 3 touchdowns, achieving a quarterback rating of 118.9 and avoiding interceptions. Defensively, the Falcons allowed 123 rushing yards on 23 attempts, equating to 5.3 yards per carry. They conceded 27 completions on 40 attempts for 277 passing yards and a completion percentage of 67.5%. In total, the Falcons ran 63 plays that yielded 295 yards. They averaged just 2.8 yards per rushing attempt with a total of 82 rushing yards on 29 carries.
In scoring terms, the Falcons are averaging 24.4 points per game and rank 6th in the league with an average of 139.9 rushing yards per contest. Over the current season, they have accumulated 2,361 total yards and achieved 65 first downs. Unfortunately, they have been penalized 45 times for a total of 425 yards and have turned the ball over 12 times (7 interceptions and 5 lost fumbles). Atlanta’s offense has scored 10 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns this season.
Defensively, the Falcons rank 20th in the league, allowing an average of 24.7 points per game. Their defense permits 3.8 yards per rushing attempt, yielding 88.9 rushing yards per game. In terms of passing yards, Atlanta has relinquished 1,789 yards, placing them 32nd in the NFL, allowing 255.6 yards per game through the air with a completion percentage against of 65.0%. Overall, they surrender 344.4 total yards per game, ranking them 19th. This season, they have allowed 11 touchdown passes and 8 rushing touchdowns, having conceded 622 rushing yards over 7 games.
The Buccaneers are also struggling with a record of 2-5 this season. Their recent game resulted in a commanding win over the Carolina Panthers, with a final score of 43-13. Quarterback Baker Mayfield threw for 64 yards on 7 completions out of 11 attempts (1 touchdown) and achieved a QB rating of 109.7 without any interceptions, averaging 5.8 yards per throw. Tez Johnson was the standout receiver, gathering 2 receptions for 33 yards (16.5 yards per catch). Running back Bucky Irving rushed 24 times for 106 yards, averaging 4.4 yards per carry. The Buccaneers compiled 322 total yards on 60 plays, averaging 5.4 yards per play. On the ground, they attained 258 yards on 49 carries, averaging 5.3 yards per rush while the defense allowed 88 rushing yards over 18 attempts (4.9 yards per run). The Buccaneers’ secondary recorded a completion rate against of 54.8%, yielding 178 yards on 17 completions out of 31 attempts.
In terms of scoring, the Buccaneers rank 17th in the NFL with an average of 23.1 points per game. They have amassed 1,053 passing yards this season, averaging just 150.4 passing yards per game, placing them 32nd in the league. Their rushing offense averages 146.4 yards per game, totaling 1,025 rushing yards so far. Tampa Bay’s offense averages 296.9 yards per game, positioning them 26th in the league. They have committed 364 yards worth of penalties throughout 50 infractions, ranking 17th for self-inflicted damage. So far this season, they have given away 7 interceptions and 4 fumbles, achieving 58 first downs collectively as a team.
Defensively, the Buccaneers allow an average of 21.6 points per game, ranking 14th in the NFL. They have permitted 10 touchdown passes, giving up 217.4 passing yards per game (14th in the league). The Buccaneers have surrendered 541 yards on the ground (77.3 yards per game), along with 3 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has participated in 413 plays from scrimmage, ranking them 15th overall, and they have forced 12 turnovers (4 fumble recoveries and 8 interceptions) this year, yielding a total of 151 points.
Which team will prevail in this weekend’s Falcons vs. Buccaneers encounter spread-wise?
Analyst’s Pick: Go with the Buccaneers -2.5
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