- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (-182) Cincinnati (+150)
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The Cincinnati Reds (40-46) are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (40-48) at Great American Ball Park this Saturday. The moneyline is currently positioned at -182 for the Orioles and +150 for the Reds, with a total set at 8.5 runs. Expected pitchers for this matchup are Brandon Young and Hunter Greene.
The Baltimore Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game, placing them 12th in the league. They have scored a total of 403 runs with an on-base percentage of .319. The team has recorded 135 doubles and hit 102 home runs this season, accumulating 391 RBIs along with 700 hits. Their batting average currently stands at .239, with a slugging percentage of .397. The Orioles have struck out 809 times while drawing 334 walks.
The Orioles currently hold a team ERA of 4.39, ranking 22nd in the MLB, with 705 strikeouts recorded. They have conceded 99 home runs and given up 436 total runs, placing them 23rd in the league. The pitching staff has allowed 308 walks, leading to a FIP of 4.23. This season, the Orioles have surrendered 765 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 381 earned runs, maintaining a K/BB ratio of 2.29 alongside a WHIP of 1.38.
Pitchers for the Orioles have entered with players on base 82 times, navigating high-leverage situations on 82 occasions. The relief unit has achieved 47 holds (13th in the league) but has a save percentage of only 64.3%. In 76 save opportunities, they have successfully converted 18 saves but also blown 10 chances. Overall, 289 relief pitchers have taken to the mound for Baltimore this year.
This season, the Orioles have completed 2,342 putouts, 749 assists, and committed 54 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in MLB) with 62 double plays turned. Their defensive efficiency stands at 68.7%, ranking 27th in the league after 7,026 innings.
Starting pitcher Young has a career record of 7-9 with a FIP of 4.46. He has faced 567 batters, allowing 134 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 49 walks, contributing to an ERA of 4.52 (65 earned runs). Young has tallied 104 strikeouts over 129 innings pitched.
The Cincinnati Reds come into the game with a team OBP of .309 and a .228 batting average. They rank third in the league with 816 strikeouts, amassing 659 hits and 106 home runs along with 345 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is at .391, averaging 4.23 runs per game (20th in MLB). Cincinnati has hit 139 doubles and drawn 319 walks, contributing to their 364 runs scored this season.
The Reds’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.459 and a FIP of 5.01, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.10 (692 strikeouts against 386 walks). They rank 23rd in hits allowed with 730, having given up 119 home runs and allowing 4.93 runs per 9 innings (22nd). So far, Cincinnati has given up 419 runs, holding a team ERA of 4.59.
In 87 save situations, the Reds have recorded 49 holds and 17 blown saves. The bullpen has been called upon in 37 save opportunities, converting 20 into saves. Their inherited runner scoring percentage sits at 24.1% of 141 inherited runners. Relievers have entered high-pressure situations 108 times, while appearing with base runners on 102 occasions. Their save percentage of 54.1% places them 25th in MLB, with 310 relief pitchers utilized this season.
The Cincinnati Reds have turned 63 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .984 (18th in the league). The team has accumulated 705 assists, 48 errors, and 2,295 putouts in 6,885 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in MLB).
In his MLB career, Greene has allowed 386 hits and has struck out 617 batters in 495 innings pitched. He has a WHIP of 1.141, a FIP of 3.60, and a K/BB ratio of 3.45, having faced 2,060 batters. Greene holds a career record of 25-29 along with a 3.65 ERA and gives up 7.0 hits per 9 innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB clash, covering the spread or taking the moneyline?
Selection: Opt for Cincinnati (+150) and the under 8.5 runs
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