- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-128) Miami (+106)
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This Tuesday, the Miami Marlins (16-18) will face off against the Baltimore Orioles (15-19) at LoanDepot Park. The moneyline odds feature the Orioles at -128, while the Marlins are positioned at +106. The over/under total stands at 9 runs. Anticipated starting pitchers are Chris Bassitt and Sandy Alcantara.
The Baltimore Orioles have a slugging percentage of .388, with 313 strikeouts and 136 walks this season. They have produced 151 RBIs alongside 260 hits, maintaining a batting average of .232. The team has 55 doubles and 39 home runs to their name, amassing 154 runs scored, while their on-base percentage stands at .317. Averaging 4.5 runs per game, the Orioles rank 12th in the league.
The Orioles have recorded a team ERA of 4.76 this year, ranking 27th in the league, with 285 strikeouts accrued. Their pitching staff has surrendered 44 home runs and 184 runs, placing them 28th overall. The staff has walked 122 hitters, with a collective FIP of 4.48. With a WHIP of 1.48, Baltimore has allowed 323 hits (9.7 per 9 innings) and 159 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34.
This season, Baltimore has utilized 119 relief pitchers, with 15.2% of inherited runners scoring. The relief corps has recorded 20 holds, ranking 13th in the league. The Orioles have faced opponents with runners on base 32 times and have dealt with 36 high-leverage situations. Out of 13 save opportunities, they succeeded in 10, yielding a save percentage of 76.9% across 34 situations.
The team’s defensive capabilities are evident in their conversion rate of 66.3% for balls in play, with 902 putouts, 301 assists, and 22 errors in 2,706 innings, ranking 29th in MLB. Their fielding percentage stands at .982, which is 26th overall, alongside 28 double plays executed.
Chris Bassitt (85-67 career record) boasts a FIP of 3.62, having faced 5,545 batters throughout his MLB tenure. He has permitted 1,222 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and has issued 423 walks. His career ERA is 3.68 with a WHIP of 1.259, having thrown 1,306 innings with 1,208 strikeouts.
The Miami Marlins have maintained an on-base percentage of .332, along with a team batting average of .252. They have struck out 283 times (15th in the league) and tallied 284 hits. Currently, they’ve recorded 25 home runs and 140 RBIs, with a team slugging percentage of .382. Averaging 4.29 runs per game has the Marlins ranking 19th in MLB. They have garnered 55 doubles, taken 122 walks, and accumulated 146 runs.
As a unit, the Marlins’ WHIP is 1.254, with a FIP of 3.91. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.60 (285 strikeouts against 125 walks), ranking 5th in MLB in total hits allowed (249). The pitching staff has allowed 29 home runs and an average of 4.44 runs per 9 innings (14th overall). This season, the Marlins have yielded 147 runs with a team ERA of 3.95 (131 earned runs).
The Marlins have faced 37 save situations, achieving 20 holds and suffering 6 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered the game in 16 save opportunities, converting 10 saves. With an inherited scoring rate of 29.7%, their bullpen has stepped in 31 times during high-pressure situations and 24 times with runners on base. Miami ranks 15th in save percentage at 62.5%, dispatching 103 relief pitchers throughout the campaign.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have executed 20 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in MLB). They have amassed 266 assists, 23 errors, and 896 putouts during the season. Their defensive efficiency rate of 71.2% ranks them 6th across baseball.
In his MLB career, Sandy Alcantara has yielded 974 hits with 962 strikeouts over 1,122 innings. He has allowed 452 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.175 and a FIP of 3.6. With a career K/BB ratio of 2.79, Alcantara faces 4,618 opposing hitters, holding a 3.63 ERA and yielding 7.8 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Bet on Miami (+106) and the under on 9 runs.
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