- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
- Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcasting: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (-145) St. Louis (+125)
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On Thursday, the Baltimore Orioles (currently at 64-68) will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (66-67) at Busch Stadium. The betting odds place Baltimore at -145 while St. Louis is at +125, with an over/under set at 8.5 runs. Trevor Rogers and Quinn Mathews will be the starting pitchers for this matchup.
The Baltimore Orioles have been averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 14th in Major League Baseball. So far, they have scored 596 runs with an on-base percentage of .318. The team has recorded 192 doubles and hit 161 home runs, accumulating 576 RBIs and 1,036 total hits, with a batting average of .236. Their slugging percentage stands at .398, with 1,215 strikeouts and 493 walks throughout the season.
As for pitching, the Orioles have an earned run average (ERA) of 4.17, placing them 17th in MLB. They’ve tallied 1,048 strikeouts and allowed 140 home runs while giving up 619 runs overall (21st in the league). Their FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) is currently at 4.06, and they’ve issued 435 walks, allowing 1,139 hits (average of 8.7 per 9 innings) and 544 earned runs. The team’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.41 and they maintain a WHIP (Walks and Hits per Inning Pitched) of 1.34.
The Orioles’ bullpen boasts a save rate of 65.4%, having entered 123 save opportunities, securing 34 saves and failing in 18 attempts. This season, they have inherited 167 runners with 29.3% scoring. Orioles pitchers have faced runners in scoring position 124 times and have seen action in high-pressure situations 132 times. A total of 434 relievers have been used this year, leading to 68 holds for the bullpen (17th in MLB).
Defensively, the Orioles have converted 68.8% of balls put in play into outs across 10,572 innings, ranking 26th in the league. This season, they’ve registered 3,524 putouts, 1,136 assists, and committed 82 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB), along with 99 double plays turned.
Pitcher Trevor Rogers, who has a career record of 33-45, carries a FIP of 3.83 having faced 2,777 batters. He has given up 609 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) along with 231 walks. Rogers has an ERA of 3.89 after allowing 282 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.288 over 652 innings pitched, and boasts 635 career strikeouts.
On the other side, the St. Louis Cardinals have a slugging percentage of .381, averaging 4.41 runs per game, ranking them 18th in MLB. They have hit 187 doubles, drawn 427 walks, and scored 586 runs. With 138 home runs this season, they’ve tallied 571 RBIs while accumulating 1,075 hits and striking out 1,040 times (26th in MLB). Their team on-base percentage is .316, with a batting average of .241.
The pitching staff for St. Louis has allowed 600 runs this season, holding an ERA of 4.21 while yielding 554 earned runs. They’ve given up 131 home runs and allow 4.56 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.340 and a FIP of 4.07, recording a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 7.80 (1,028 strikeouts vs. 448 walks). They rank 26th in total hits allowed with 1,140 this season.
In terms of save rate, St. Louis is at 61.3% and has used 445 relief pitchers this year. Their relief staff has entered 165 high-leverage situations and 136 times with runners on base. In 152 save situations, they’ve produced 86 holds and blown 24 saves. St. Louis’ bullpen pitchers have entered 62 save opportunities, completing 38 saves, and their inherited runners’ scoring percentage stands at 39.5% with 205 inherited runners.
Defensively, the Cardinals have turned 132 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in pro baseball). They have recorded 1,247 assists, 56 errors, and 3,555 putouts this season. Across 10,665 innings, they hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (23rd in the league).
In his career, Quinn Mathews has allowed 18 hits while striking out 13 batters over 14 innings. He has given up 10 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.786 and a FIP of 6.3. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 1.86, facing 66 hitters during his MLB tenure. With a career record of 0-2, Mathews has an ERA of 6.43 and allows 11.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will take home the victory in tonight’s MLB showdown? Will it be against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Go with St. Louis (+125)
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