- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+132) Tampa Bay (-160)
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This Sunday, the Baltimore Orioles (58-63) venture to Tropicana Field to challenge the Tampa Bay Rays (74-46). The moneyline for this contest shows Baltimore at +132, while Tampa Bay stands at -160. The over/under total is set at 9 runs. The probable starting pitchers are Trevor Rogers and Freddy Peralta.
This season, the Orioles have recorded 175 doubles and tallied 143 home runs. Baltimore boasts a slugging percentage of .395, with 1,112 strikeouts and 468 walks. Averaging 4.5 runs per game, the Orioles rank 15th in MLB. They have racked up 524 RBIs and 944 hits, paired with a batting average of .235. So far, they have accumulated 543 runs and maintain an on-base percentage of .320.
On the pitching side, the Orioles’ earned run average stands at 4.24 (19th in MLB), with a total of 959 strikeouts. Thus far, they have allowed 129 home runs and 579 runs (22nd in MLB). The team has issued 403 walks, with a FIP of 4.07 for the season. Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 1,043 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and have a K/BB ratio of 2.38, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
This year, the Orioles have used 397 relievers, inheriting 149 runners with 28.2% scoring. Their bullpen registered 63 holds (15th in MLB). With 111 appearances under high-leverage situations, they have achieved 31 saves but failed to convert 16 of 47 save opportunities. The save percentage for Orioles’ relievers stands at 66.0%, with 112 save situations faced.
So far, the Orioles have recorded 3,224 putouts, 1,039 assists, and committed 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is .982, ranking 27th in MLB, with 87 double plays executed. They have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs throughout 9,672 innings, which places them 26th in baseball.
Trevor Rogers, with a career record of 31-45, holds a FIP of 3.84, having faced 2,724 batters. He has allowed 596 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and issued 229 walks. Rogers possesses an earned run average of 3.90 (277 ERs) and a WHIP of 1.291. Across 639 innings, he has accumulated 623 strikeouts during his MLB tenure.
The Rays feature a slugging percentage of .408 and are scoring 4.58 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have achieved 173 doubles, drawn 393 walks, and scored 549 runs. With 128 home runs and 523 RBIs to date, Tampa Bay has struck out 854 times (30th in MLB) while amassing 1,049 hits. The team exhibits an on-base percentage of .331 and a batting average of .261 for the season.
On the mound, the Tampa Bay pitching staff has allowed 487 runs with an ERA of 3.70 (440 earned runs). They have surrendered 148 home runs and 4.10 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). With a FIP of 4.03, the Rays’ WHIP stands at 1.141. Their strikeout to walk ratio is impressive at 8.20 (977 strikeouts to 305 walks), making them 5th in MLB for total hits allowed with 916.
The Rays’ bullpen showcases a remarkable save rate of 77.4%. They’ve utilized 381 pitchers this season, facing 118 high-leverage situations and 97 with base runners. With 154 save attempts, Tampa Bay has 92 holds and 14 blown saves. In 62 save chances, their relievers have converted 48 saves, with a 27.3% inherited score percentage from 139 base runners.
Defensively, the Rays have a rate of 72.2% efficiency (2nd in MLB) after playing 9,630 innings. They’ve completed 80 double plays this season and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in MLB). The team has posted 945 assists, 72 errors, and 3,210 putouts.
Freddy Peralta, boasting a 70-42 career record, has a 3.65 earned run average and has allowed 6.8 hits per nine frames. His K/BB ratio is 3.21, having faced 3,896 hitters throughout his time in MLB. Peralta has given up 381 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.139 and a FIP of 3.6, allowing 709 hits while striking out 1,161 in 940 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Support Baltimore (+132)
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