Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Insights: 10/3/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Insights: 10/3/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Venue: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
  • Broadcast: ESPN
  • Point Spread: Sun Devils (-4.5)
  • Over/Under Total: 50.5

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The Baylor Bears (3-1) travel to Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026, to challenge the Arizona State Sun Devils (2-1). The Bears enter the game as 4.5-point underdogs, with the total set at 50.5 points.

Currently holding a record of 3-1 for the season, the Baylor Bears emerged victorious in their latest game against the Colorado Buffaloes, winning 23-13. In this contest, they executed 35 rushing attempts for a total of 116 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Overall, they ran 74 plays, accumulating 337 total yards. Defensively, the Bears allowed 24 completions on 42 attempts, yielding 280 passing yards with a completion percentage of 57.1%. On the ground, they conceded 83 yards on 39 carries, averaging 2.1 yards per rush.

college football predictions for Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils

This season, the Bears have amassed a total of 1,743 yards. In terms of scoring, they have recorded 10 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns while also committing 8 turnovers. The team has achieved 103 first downs and faced 34 penalties resulting in 299 yards. Their rushing attack averages 150.8 yards per game, ranking 87th nationally. The Baylor Bears have been averaging 29.8 points per game as they seek to find the end zone.

Defensively, the Bears have surrendered 836 passing yards, ranking 76th in the nation. They allow an average of 209.0 passing yards per game, boasting a completion percentage against of 60.3%. Overall, they give up 306.0 yards per game, placing them 38th in Division I. Baylor has allowed 2 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns, with opponents averaging only 2.8 yards per carry and 97.0 rushing yards per game. Thus far, they’ve conceded 388 rushing yards over 4 games, ranking 16th in the nation for points allowed, at 13.0 per game.

The Arizona State Sun Devils enter this game with a 2-1 record for the season. In their previous outing, they secured a 24-17 win against the Kansas Jayhawks. The Sun Devils finished with 228 total yards running 66 plays, averaging 3.5 yards per play. In the rushing game, Arizona State managed 133 yards on 43 carries, averaging 3.1 yards per attempt while allowing 41 rushes for 179 yards (4.4 yards per carry). Their pass defense achieved a completion percentage against of 51.5%, yielding 235 yards on 17 completions from 33 attempts.

Averaging 426.0 yards per game, the Sun Devils are currently ranked 52nd in Division I football. Their offense has been flagged for 149 yards due to 20 penalties, ranking at 108th nationally for penalties. With an average of 165.7 rushing yards per game, they’ve tallied 497 rushing yards this season. The team has thrown 2 interceptions and has had 3 fumbles, garnering 61 first downs. In terms of scoring, the Sun Devils rank 32nd in college football, averaging 38.0 points per game. They also boast 781 passing yards this season, averaging 260.3 yards through the air per game, placing them 45th nationally.

On defense, Arizona State allows 24.0 points per game, positioning them at 80th in college football. They have permitted a total of 373 yards rushing (124.3 yards/game) and 2 rushing touchdowns thus far. The Sun Devils have also given up 4 passing touchdowns and 161.3 yards per game, ranking 19th in Division I. Their defense has been active with 183 plays, placing them 6th in the nation. This season, they’ve recorded 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions while conceding a total of 72 points.

Who will prevail in today’s matchup between the Bears and Sun Devils?

Prediction: Back the Bears +4.5

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Pick: Baylor Bears +4.5
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