Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando Pick: Predictions and Odds for UFC Vegas 124 on 11/07/2026

• Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando: A Clash of Titans
• UFC Vegas 124 Showdown
• Meta Apex Arena in Las Vegas
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026

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On Saturday, November 7, 2026, Billy Elekana is set to face Lucas Fernando in the Octagon during the highly anticipated UFC Vegas 124 event. The matchup features Elekana listed at +258, while Fernando comes in at -315.

Billy “Son of Susie” Elekana boasts a professional record of 10 wins and 2 losses with no draws. At 31 years old, he weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6’3″ tall with a reach of 77″. In contrast, Lucas Fernando, a 29-year-old orthodox fighter, matches Elekana’s height and weight at 6’3″ and 205 lbs, aiming to enhance his record of 14 wins and 3 losses. Fernando has an impressive reach of 80″. When it comes to striking statistics, Elekana averages 2.71 significant strikes landed per minute, while Fernando connects on 3.71. Elekana displays an accuracy rate of 56% for significant strikes, closely matched by Fernando’s 57%. In terms of defense, Elekana absorbs 3.59 significant strikes each minute, whereas Fernando takes in 3.21. Elekana defends against 46% of incoming strikes, while Fernando manages to block 51% of his opponents’ attempts.

When it comes to grappling, Billy Elekana is the less proficient wrestler, averaging just 0.85 takedowns per 15 minutes, with a success rate of 22%. He defends against 15% of his opponents’ takedown attempts. Conversely, Fernando successfully executes takedowns on 30% of his attempts and also stops 15% of opponent takedowns. In submission attempts, Elekana showcases greater submission skills with an average of 0.8 submissions every 3 rounds, compared to Fernando’s 0.6 attempts per 15 minutes.

In his most recent Octagon bout, Billy Elekana faced Junior Tafa and secured a victory via rear-naked choke in the second round. Tafa managed to land 38 out of 70 total strikes during the fight, whereas Elekana scored 27 out of 54 total strikes. Tafa’s significant strikes included 21 landed to the head from 49 attempts, giving him a striking accuracy of 54%. Elekana connected on 24 out of 51 significant strikes, hitting 20 of those to the head, achieving an accuracy rate of 47%. Out of Tafa’s significant strikes, 97% occurred at a distance, while 91% of Elekana’s strikes were also distance shots.

In his preceding Octagon appearance, Lucas Fernando battled Rafael Tobias and secured a win through a knee strike to the body in the third round. Tobias showcased an impressive accuracy rate, landing 84% of his significant strikes from distance, while Fernando connected on 95% of his attempts from the same range. Fernando scored 60% of his attempted significant strikes, with a total of 69 out of 115 landed; among these, 37 were direct hits to the head. Tobias landed 13 of 56 total significant strikes, with 5 of those landing on the head. Throughout the fight, Tobias threw 58 strikes, landing 14, while Fernando landed a total of 69 out of 115 strikes attempted.

Key Matches to Keep an Eye On

Make sure you catch the intriguing bout between Mantas Kondratavicius and Andre Petroski. Kondratavicius is aiming for a win to improve his record of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old fighter competes at 185 lbs and stands 6’2″ tall with a reach of 75″. Petroski, at 6’0″ and also weighing in at 185 lbs, seeks to elevate his record to 13-6-0. He has a reach of 73″. In grappling metrics, Kondratavicius secures a takedown an average of 2.80 times per 3 rounds, while Petroski averages 3.13 takedowns per 3 rounds. In the striking department, Kondratavicius lands an average of 4.97 strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 65%, compared to Petroski, who averages 2.75 strikes per minute with a 49% accuracy.

Another must-see matchup features Marcos Degli facing off against Mitch Raposo. Raposo, looking to improve his record to 11-3-0, weighs in at 125 lbs and stands at 5’5″, equipped with a wingspan of 64″. Degli comes in at 5’6″ with the same weight of 125 lbs and holds a record of 15-3-0. In grappling achievements, Raposo successfully defends 68% of takedowns attempted against him while scoring on 36% of his own tries. Degli finishes 50% of his takedown attempts and defends against 15% of opponent strategies. In striking, Raposo lands an average of 2.92 strikes per minute while taking 1.91 strikes/min, whereas Degli absorbs only 0.51 strikes/min while landing 1.95.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC match against the spread?

Prediction: Bet on Lucas Fernando (-315)