- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN
- Betting Odds: Boston (-122) Baltimore (+102)
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The Boston Red Sox (75-65) will be visiting Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (69-71). The current betting odds favor the Red Sox at -122, while the Orioles are set at +102. The over/under total for the game is established at 8 runs. Pitching duties will be handled by Ranger Suarez for the Red Sox and Shane Baz for the Orioles.
This season, the Boston Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them at 16th overall in the league. They have accumulated 627 runs while boasting a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .323. The Red Sox have recorded 258 doubles and 143 home runs, leading to 598 RBIs and 1,177 hits so far, resulting in a team batting average of .250. Their slugging percentage stands at .407, with 1,126 strikeouts and 448 walks thus far.
Boston’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and a combined WHIP of 1.24. Red Sox pitchers have permitted 138 home runs and 550 runs (5th in the league) during the season. The team has conceded 1,142 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) along with 507 earned runs, resulting in an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.66, ranked 4th in MLB. They have struck out 1,192 batters, while 407 opposing batters have been walked, giving them a collective Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 3.74.
This season, the Red Sox bullpen has utilized 429 relief pitchers. They have inherited 148 base runners, with 30.4% scoring. The bullpen has notched 82 holds, ranking 9th in the league, and has faced runners on base 112 times in high-leverage situations. The team has accumulated 37 saves but has blown 13 out of 50 save opportunities, giving them a save rate of 74.0% in 134 save situations.
The Red Sox have recorded 3,736 putouts this season, alongside 1,217 assists and 76 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .985—ranking them 18th in MLB. They have successfully turned 102 double plays, converting 69.4% of balls in play into outs across 11,208 innings, placing them at 20th in the league.
Ranger Suarez has logged 885 innings of pitching with 824 strikeouts in his professional career. He holds an ERA of 3.42 (336 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.266, having given up 842 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) along with 279 free passes. Suarez boasts a career record of 58-41 and a FIP of 3.36 while facing 3,713 hitters in the major leagues.
The Baltimore Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .396 and score an average of 4.54 runs per game, ranking 10th in MLB. They have hit 205 doubles, drawn 523 walks, and scored 635 runs, including 169 home runs and 612 RBIs. However, they also rank 4th in the league for strikeouts with 1,288 and have recorded 1,098 hits. This season, the Orioles have an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .235.
The Orioles pitching staff has allowed 655 runs, contributing to an ERA of 4.16 (577 earned runs). They have given up 147 home runs and permit 4.73 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The team holds a WHIP of 1.346 with a collective FIP of 4.04. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.10, having struck out 1,120 batters against 462 walks. They are ranked 27th in total hits allowed with 1,217.
Baltimore’s relief pitchers have inherited runners at a 27.3% scoring rate out of 183 opportunities. They have entered the game 155 times in high-leverage situations and 137 times with runners on base. The Orioles have accumulated 78 holds and 21 blown saves, currently ranking 14th in MLB with a save rate of 65.0%. Thus far, they have fielded 466 bullpen pitchers this season.
The Orioles have turned 107 double plays this year with a fielding percentage of .983, placing them 23rd in MLB. They have also achieved 1,195 assists and 83 errors, alongside 3,742 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency across 11,226 innings stands at 68.6%, ranking 27th in the majors.
In his professional baseball tenure, Shane Baz has allowed 405 hits while recording 432 strikeouts over 443 innings pitched. He has given up 205 earned runs, boasting a WHIP of 1.271 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.73, having faced 1,865 batters, and holds a career record of 22-31 with a 4.16 ERA, allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Take Baltimore (+102) and the under at 8 runs
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