- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
- Scheduled Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcasting on: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Boston (-160) Miami (+132)
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This Wednesday, the Miami Marlins (67-65) will face off against the Boston Red Sox (72-59) at LoanDepot Park. The current moneyline favors Boston at -160, while Miami opens at +132. The total runs are set at 8.5, with Sonny Gray and Ryan Gusto slated as the starting pitchers.

The Boston Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking 13th in the league. With a total of 593 runs this season and an on-base percentage of .324, the team has also accumulated 241 doubles and 133 home runs. They have scored 567 RBIs, racked up 1,103 hits, and are batting at an average of .251. Their slugging percentage is .407, with 1,058 strikeouts and 419 walks drawn throughout the season.
This season, the Red Sox have achieved a collective ERA of 3.50, placing them 3rd in the league, and have struck out a total of 1,119 batters. They have given up 126 home runs and allowed 492 runs in total (3rd in MLB). With 375 walks issued, the unit’s FIP stands at 3.67. Boston has conceded a total of 1,050 hits, averaging 8.1 per 9 innings, and has allowed 453 earned runs, boasting a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.22.
The Boston bullpen has a save percentage of 77.1%, having entered 130 save scenarios, converting 37 saves while failing in 11 opportunities. They’ve also inherited 135 runners, with 31.1% crossing home plate. This season, Red Sox pitchers have entered games with runners on base 100 times and appeared in 117 high-leverage situations. The team has utilized 402 relief pitchers, recording 80 holds (8th in the league).
In 10,488 innings played, the Red Sox have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs, ranking 18th in the league. They’ve recorded 3,496 putouts, 1,142 assists, and 66 errors, achieving a .986 fielding percentage (13th in MLB) with 97 double plays.
Sonny Gray has amassed 2,056 innings pitched with 2,048 career strikeouts. His career ERA is 3.53 (806 earned runs allowed) and he holds a WHIP of 1.195. He has allowed 1,800 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) along with 657 walks. Gray has an overall record of 141-105 and possesses a FIP of 3.47, facing 8,515 batters during his time in the majors.
The Miami Marlins have achieved an on-base percentage of .327 and a team batting average of .249 in the current season. They’ve struck out 1,074 times (17th in the league) and recorded 1,092 hits. The Marlins have launched 133 home runs and amassed 552 RBIs, scoring an average of 4.36 runs per game (19th in MLB). Additionally, they’ve compiled 208 doubles, drawn 452 walks, and totaled 575 runs.
Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 556 runs, yielding an ERA of 3.90 (502 earned runs). They have given up 129 home runs and average 4.32 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). With a team WHIP of 1.249 and a FIP of 3.98, they currently hold a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (1,082 strikeouts vs. 439 walks), ranking 5th in the league for total hits allowed with 1,006.
Presently, they rank 17th in save percentage at 62.5%, having used 425 relief pitchers this year. Their bullpen has faced high-leverage situations 123 times and 111 times with runners on base. With 124 save opportunities, the Marlins have 74 holds and 18 blown saves. In 48 save chances, Miami relievers have successfully converted 30 saves, holding an inherited score percentage of 23.3% of 163 inherited runners.
With 10,413 innings played, the Marlins maintain a defensive success rate of 70.7% (9th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have executed 95 double plays this season and possess a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors), alongside 1,094 assists, 84 errors, and 3,471 putouts.
Gusto has allowed 176 hits and has tallied 148 strikeouts in 158 innings pitched in his MLB career. He has permitted 92 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.433 and a FIP of 5.10. His strikeout to walk ratio stands at 2.90, having faced 708 batters throughout his MLB tenure. Gusto has a career win-loss record of 7-10 and an ERA of 5.23, allowing an average of 10.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB matchup covering the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Back Boston (-160)
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