- Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets
- Event Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox (-122) New York Mets (+102)
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In this exciting matchup at Citi Field, the Boston Red Sox (42-48) will face off against the New York Mets (39-54). The current betting odds favor the Red Sox at -122, while the Mets are set at +102, with the total score line at 8. Starting pitchers for the game are Sonny Gray and Nolan McLean.
The Red Sox have recorded 160 doubles this season and hit 80 home runs. They boast a slugging percentage of .388 and have struck out 744 times while drawing walks 268 times. Collectively, Boston is averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking 24th in the league. This season, they have accounted for 353 RBIs and 739 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .245. They’ve scored a total of 370 runs with an on-base percentage of .314.
The Red Sox maintain a team ERA of 3.70 this season (7th in MLB) and have tallied 768 strikeouts. Their pitchers have surrendered 94 home runs and allowed 353 total runs (ranking 3rd in MLB). With 263 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.85 this season. They’ve conceded 719 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per 9 innings) and 327 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.24.
The Red Sox bullpen has achieved a 69.0% save rate in 80 opportunities, converting 20 saves and failing in 9 of 29 chances. 33.0% of the 106 inherited base runners have scored. Their relief pitchers have stepped into 72 situations with players on base and have been involved in 72 high-leverage appearances. This season, the Red Sox have used 275 relief pitchers, who have collectively secured 50 holds (14th in MLB).
Throughout this season, the Boston Red Sox have totaled 2,386 putouts, 765 assists, and 40 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .987, which ranks 7th in the league. They’ve turned 58 double plays and converted 70.1% of balls put in play into outs across 7,158 innings, placing them 14th in professional baseball.
Sonny Gray has pitched 2,007 innings, accumulating 2,007 strikeouts in his career. With a career record of 135-103, he has a FIP of 3.48 and has faced 8,311 batters. His ERA stands at 3.54 (allowing 789 earned runs), while his career WHIP is 1.193. Gray has given up 1,751 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 644 walks.
The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .381 and score an average of 4.16 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They have 113 doubles, drawn 286 walks, and accumulated 387 runs. New York has hit 108 home runs this season, contributing to 369 RBIs. They’ve struck out 765 times (19th in the league) and recorded a total of 732 hits, with an on-base percentage of .303 and a batting average of .234.
The Mets’ pitching staff has allowed 447 runs this season, with a team ERA of 4.35 (400 earned runs). They’ve conceded 101 home runs and allow 4.86 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). With a team WHIP of 1.319 and a FIP of 4.03, their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.20 (851 strikeouts to 336 walks). They rank 16th in the league in hits allowed, with a total of 756 so far this season.
The Mets’ bullpen has an inherited scoring percentage of 30.9%, managing 123 inherited base runners. They have entered 103 high-leverage situations and have faced 92 occasions with runners on base. With 62 save opportunities, the Mets have amassed 34 holds and 12 blown saves. They currently rank 22nd in baseball with a save percentage of 57.1%, utilizing a total of 288 relievers this year.
With 7,458 innings played, the Mets showcase a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (23rd in baseball). They have executed 52 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors) with 752 assists, 61 errors, and a total of 2,486 putouts this season.
Nolan McLean, with an 11-6 career record, maintains a 3.20 ERA while allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and has faced 610 hitters throughout his career. McLean has given up 53 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.093 and a FIP of 3.2. Over his professional career, he has allowed 110 hits and collected 175 strikeouts in 149 innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (+102)
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