- Game: Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings
- Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Odds-Point Spread: Bills -3.0
- Total-Over-Under: 45.5
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The Buffalo Bills (6-1) are heading to U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday, looking to overcome the Minnesota Vikings (6-1). The Vikings are listed as 3-point underdogs, with an over-under set at 45.5.
The Bills enter this matchup with a strong 6-1 record this season. In their latest outing, they took on the Baltimore Ravens and secured a decisive 36-10 victory. Quarterback Josh Allen completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, achieving 2 touchdowns and posting a QB rating of 96.3, with 1 interception. Khalil Shakir showcased his skills with an average of 12.8 yards per reception, totaling 64 yards on 5 catches. James Cook led the rushing attack with 21 carries for 80 yards (3.8 yards per carry). The Bills executed 75 plays for a total of 426 yards, averaging 3.6 yards per carry on 41 rushing attempts, gathering 146 yards. Defensively, they allowed 76 rushing yards on 19 attempts, averaging 4.0 yards per run, and surrendered 68 passing yards on 26 attempts, resulting in a 46.2% completion rate.
When it comes to scoring, the Bills boast an impressive average of 33.3 points per game. They rank 3rd in the league with an average of 148.4 rushing yards and have amassed 2,752 total yards this season. Buffalo has achieved 79 first downs while committing 61 penalties for 526 yards and has turned the ball over 11 times (5 interceptions and 6 fumbles). The team has found the end zone 11 times through the air and 16 times on the ground.
Defensively, the Bills have allowed 1,783 passing yards, ranking them 24th in the league. They are giving up 254.7 passing yards per game with a 63.1% completion rate. Against the run, they have surrendered 682 yards so far this season, allowing 15 touchdowns via the pass and 7 on the ground. Overall, Buffalo allows an average of 352.1 yards per game, ranking them 24th in the NFL, as well as conceding 25.9 points per game, placing them 24th in scoring defense.
Conversely, the Vikings also enter this contest with a 6-1 record. Unfortunately, they faced a setback in their last game, losing 19-15 to the Detroit Lions. Quarterback Kyler Murray rushed 4 times for 35 yards, averaging 8.8 yards per carry. Justin Jefferson was a key contributor with 5 receptions for 33 yards (6.6 yards per catch), while Murray completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception, and an 89.7 QB rating. The Vikings’ rushing defense struggled, allowing 230 yards on 39 carries (5.9 yards per rush), while their pass defense yielded a 72.0% completion rate, giving up 154 yards on 18 completions out of 25 attempts. Overall, Minnesota totaled 266 yards on 47 plays, averaging 5.7 yards per play, and managed 81 rushing yards on 18 carries, averaging 4.5 yards per attempt.
In terms of scoring capabilities, the Vikings rank 27th in the league, averaging 20.0 points per game. They have thrown for 1,159 yards this season, averaging just 165.6 passing yards per game, placing them 31st in the NFL. Their ground game averages 113.9 rushing yards per contest, with a total of 797 rushing yards thus far. The Minnesota offense averaged 279.4 yards per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been penalized 39 times, resulting in a total of 314 yards lost, ranking them 32nd in free yardage given up. The Vikings have recorded 3 interceptions and yielded 2 fumbles while accumulating 62 first downs throughout the season.
Defensively, the Vikings have allowed just 4 passing touchdowns, ranking them 1st in that category, and an average of 154.9 passing yards per game. They have given up 817 rushing yards, averaging 116.7 rushing yards per contest, along with 4 rushing touchdowns. Their defense has generated 12 turnovers (4 forced fumbles and 8 interceptions) this season, yielding only 93 points. Minnesota’s defense is also credited with participating in 408 plays, putting them at 2nd in the NFL. They boast an impressive 13.3 points per game allowed, ranking them 1st in the league.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s Bills vs. Vikings matchup against the spread?
Pick: Take the Bills -3.0
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