Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves Odds, Picks, and Predictions for UFC Sacramento on 08/22/2026

• Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves: A UFC Showdown
• UFC Sacramento Event
• Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026

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On Saturday, August 22, 2026, Carli Judice is set to face Jeisla Chaves at the highly anticipated UFC Sacramento event. The initial moneyline places Judice at -525 and Chaves at +400.

Carli “Crispy” Judice boasts a record of 6 wins and 2 losses. At 27 years old, she weighs in at 115 lbs and stands at 5’7″, with a reach of 68 inches. Jeisla “A Braba” Chaves, aged 29, measures in at 5’6″ and the same weight. She remains undefeated with a record of 8-0-0 and shares the same reach of 68 inches. In terms of offensive striking, Judice achieves 9.32 significant strikes per minute, compared to Chaves’s 4.97. Judice hits 50% of her strike attempts while Chaves has an impressive 56% accuracy rate. In terms of defense, Judice absorbs 6.62 significant strikes per minute, whereas Chaves faces 4.20. Judice successfully defends against 57% of her opponents’ significant strikes, while Chaves defends 53%.

In grappling exchanges, Judice shows less proficiency, securing a takedown just 0.52 times per 15 minutes with a success rate of 25%. She effectively defends against 80% of opponents’ takedown attempts. Conversely, Chaves successfully takes opponents down 37% of the time and stops 62% of their takedowns. In submission attempts, Judice excels with 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes, while Chaves aims for 0.5 submissions per three rounds.

In her last fight, Carli Judice faced Juliana Miller and secured a victory by unanimous decision in the third round. Miller landed 46 out of 138 total strikes in that match. In contrast, Judice struck 104 out of 214 attempts. Significant strikes saw Miller hitting 36 of 122 at a 29% success rate and 24 out of 100 aimed at the head. In the same bout, Judice landed 42% of her significant strikes, hitting 79 of 185, including 53 of 143 aimed at the head. The majority of significant strikes landed by both fighters were executed at distance, with Miller landing 80% and Judice 94%.

In Jeisla Chaves’s latest Octagon appearance, she faced Yuneisy Duben, winning via split decision in the third round. Duben recorded a striking success rate of 70% from distance, while Chaves managed 56%. Chaves landed 64% of her strikes, totaling 64 out of 99 attempts, and achieved 35 of 66 aimed at the head. Meanwhile, Duben landed 62 of 112 attempts, including 41 out of 83 at the head. In total strikes for that fight, Duben hit 110 of 165, while Chaves was 92 of 136 overall.

Other Noteworthy Bouts to Watch

An intriguing matchup features Shanelle Dyer taking on Elise Reed. Dyer enters the fight with a record of 7-1-0 at 115 lbs and 5’6″, with a reach of 65 inches. Reed, measuring 5’3″ and weighing 115 lbs, seeks to boost her career record of 8-5-0. When it comes to grappling stats, Dyer secures a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes, while Reed manages only 0.46. Striking-wise, Dyer lands an impressive 7.71 strikes per minute with a 46% accuracy, while Reed connects on 3.41 strikes per minute with a 53% success rate.

Another exciting fight scheduled for the night is Gregory Rodrigues facing Anthony Hernandez. Hernandez aims to improve his record of 15-3-0 (1 NC) as he steps into the cage at 185 lbs and stands tall at 6’0″ with a 75-inch reach. Rodrigues, also weighing in at 185 lbs, measures 6’3″ and seeks to add to his 19-6-0 career. In grappling, Hernandez defends against 68% of takedowns, successful on 48% of his attempts. Rodrigues, meanwhile, manages a 34% takedown success rate while defending against 75%. In terms of striking, Hernandez absorbs 3.10 strikes per minute while delivering 4.57, whereas Rodrigues absorbs 4.78 strikes per minute and lands 5.53.

Which fighter will claim victory in tonight’s UFC matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back Carli Judice (-525)