- Matchup: Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: FOX
- Odds-Point Spread: Bears -3.0
- Total-Over-Under: 48.5
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The Atlanta Falcons (2-3) aim to secure a victory against the Chicago Bears (3-2) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium this Sunday. The Falcons enter as 3-point underdogs according to sportsbooks, with the total set at 48.5.
Currently, the Chicago Bears hold a record of 3-2. In their previous outing, they faced off against the Green Bay Packers, suffering a defeat with a score of 31-7. Quarterback Tyson Bagent completed 12 of 21 passes for 87 yards, resulting in a quarterback rating of 27.4 and two interceptions. Receiver Luther Burden averaged 11.8 yards per reception, contributing 47 yards from four catches. D’Andre Swift led the rushing attack, carrying the ball 9 times for 43 yards (an average of 4.8 yards per carry). Overall, the Bears executed 64 plays totaling 246 yards, with 24 rushing attempts accumulating 81 yards for an average of 3.4 yards per carry. Defensively, Chicago allowed 70 yards on 26 rushes, equating to 2.7 yards per carry, and conceded 25 receptions out of 31 attempts, totaling 358 passing yards with a completion rate of 80.6%.
This season, the Bears have amassed a total of 1,962 yards, with 59 first downs and 32 penalties resulting in 209 penalty yards. When it comes to scoring, Chicago has recorded 4 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns, while turning the ball over 10 times (5 interceptions and 5 lost fumbles). As a rushing unit, they’re averaging 173.2 yards per game, placing them first in the NFL. Overall, the Bears average 23.8 points per game.
Defensively, Chicago ranks 5th in terms of points allowed, giving up an average of 19.2 points per game. They concede an average of 4.4 yards per carry and 96.0 rushing yards per game. Through the air, the Bears have allowed 1,077 yards, placing them 14th in the league. Their average passing yardage surrendered is 215.4 yards, with a completion percentage of 63.8%. Overall, they allow 311.4 yards per game, ranking them 9th in the NFL. The Bears have yielded 6 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns, totaling 480 rushing yards surrendered across five games this season.
The Falcons enter this matchup with a 2-3 record this season. In their latest contest, Atlanta suffered a defeat against the Baltimore Ravens, falling 30-23. Quarterback Michael Penix, throwing for 240 yards on 19-32, managed 1 touchdown with no interceptions and a quarterback rating of 93.2, averaging 7.5 yards per attempt. Bijan Robinson contributed with 17 carries for 86 yards, achieving 5.1 yards per carry. Receiver Drake London led the Falcons’ receiving game with 7 receptions for 118 yards (16.9 yards per reception). Collectively, Atlanta rushed for an average of 4.2 yards per carry, finishing with 110 yards on 26 attempts. The Falcons compiled 367 total yards over 61 plays, averaging 6.0 yards per play. Defensively, Atlanta allowed a 75.0% completion percentage, yielding 183 passing yards on 24 completions out of 32 attempts and conceded a substantial 208 rushing yards on 35 carries (5.9 yards per carry).
On the scoring front, the Falcons rank 13th in football, with an average of 23.8 points per game. This season, they have accumulated 975 passing yards, averaging 195.0 passing yards per game, which places them 21st in the league overall. In terms of rushing, the Falcons average 166.8 yards per game, totaling 834 rushing yards. Overall, Atlanta has averaged 361.8 total yards per game, putting them 10th in the NFL. Their offense has been penalized 36 times for 355 yards, ranking 16th in the league for penalty yards. They have thrown 7 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles, along with achieving 45 first downs on offense.
Defensively, Atlanta has allowed 9 passing touchdowns and averages 248.4 passing yards given up per game, which ranks 27th in the league. They’ve conceded a total of 401 rushing yards (80.2 yards per game) and 3 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has forced 4 turnovers, including 3 fumbles and 1 interception. They have allowed a total of 122 points during the season. The Falcons’ defense ranks 27th for plays allowed from scrimmage at 327. Currently, they allow an average of 24.4 points per game, ranking them 21st in the NFL.
Who will emerge victorious in the Bears vs. Falcons matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Choose the Bears -3.0
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