- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Chicago (-196) Cincinnati (+162)
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The Cincinnati Reds (42-49) are poised to face off against the Chicago Cubs (52-40) at Great American Ball Park this Friday. The Cubs are positioned as favorites with a moneyline of -196, while the Reds sit at +162. The total runs line for the game is set at 8.5, with Shota Imanaga and Hunter Greene expected to start on the mound.
The Chicago Cubs have generated 144 doubles this season and launched 117 home runs. Currently, they are slugging at .411 and have recorded 773 strikeouts alongside 404 walks. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Cubs rank 4th in Major League Baseball. They have driven in 437 RBIs and tallied 767 hits with a batting average of .244. Their on-base percentage stands at .338 after accumulating 469 runs.
The Cubs have an impressive K/BB ratio of 2.54 and their pitching staff possesses an overall WHIP of 1.27. They have allowed 141 home runs and 418 runs, ranking 16th overall in MLB. This season, Chicago has given up 758 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 397 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.36, placing them 20th in the league. Their pitchers have collectively struck out 721 batters and issued 284 walks, with a FIP of 4.77 for the season.
In save situations, the Cubs’ bullpen has a save percentage of 54.5% and has entered 71 save opportunities this year, converting on 18. However, they have failed 15 out of 33 chances. Relief pitchers have inherited 137 runners this season, allowing 32.1% to score. With 95 appearances from the bullpen in close games, their overall hold total stands at 32 (29th in MLB).
The Cubs’ defensive unit has turned 71.8% of balls in play into outs this season over 7,374 innings, ranking 3rd in the league. They have achieved 2,458 putouts, recorded 850 assists, and committed 37 errors, boasting a .989 fielding percentage that ranks 4th overall in Major League Baseball, including 68 double plays.
Shota Imanaga (career record: 29-18) has a FIP of 3.47, facing 1,676 batters in his MLB journey. He has allowed 353 hits (averaging 7.5 hits per nine innings) and 80 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.53 (165 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.029 over 421 innings, striking out a total of 391 batters to date.
The Cincinnati Reds, meanwhile, have a team slugging percentage of .392 and score an average of 4.22 runs per game, placing them 22nd in the league. They have recorded 145 doubles, walked 342 times, and accumulated 384 runs. With 113 home runs this season, they have also driven in 365 RBIs. The Reds rank 3rd in Major League Baseball with 862 strikeouts and have tallied 695 hits, holding a team batting average of .228 and an on-base percentage of .310.
On the pitching side, the Reds have a WHIP of 1.456 and a FIP of 4.99. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.10 (731 strikeouts vs. 412 walks). They rank 20th for total hits allowed, with 767, while allowing 124 home runs and giving up 4.90 runs per nine innings (ranking 21st in MLB). Their overall ERA is 4.57, accounting for 441 runs this season with 411 recorded as earned runs.
Cincinnati holds a save percentage of 55.3% (25th in MLB) and has used 326 relief pitchers this season. Their relievers have entered games in high-pressure situations 111 times and with runners on base 104 times. The Reds have compiled 51 holds, but also suffered 17 blown saves from their 90 save situations, achieving 21 saves in 38 chances. Their inherited score percentage for 144 runners is at 25.0%.
The Reds have posted a defensive efficiency rating of 70.4% over 7,290 innings, ranking them 11th in MLB. They have committed 50 errors, made 749 assists, and achieved 2,430 putouts, with a fielding percentage of .985, putting them 18th in the league, while they’ve turned 67 double plays.
In his career, Hunter Greene has allowed 393 hits and recorded 624 strikeouts over 498 innings pitched. With a career record of 25-30, he holds a 3.77 ERA, permitting 7.1 hits per nine innings. Greene has given up a total of 209 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.156 and a FIP of 3.7, while maintaining a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.41 against 2,080 batters throughout his professional career.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or taking the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Chicago (-196)
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