- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres
- Scheduled Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Peacock
- Betting Odds: Chicago (+103) San Diego (-124)
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The Chicago Cubs, standing at 89-73, are set to visit Petco Park on Wednesday to challenge the San Diego Padres, who hold a record of 91-71, in Game 2 of their NL Wild Card series. The odds place Chicago at +103 and San Diego at -124. The over/under for this game is set at 7.5 runs, with Kevin Gausman and Nick Pivetta slated as the starting pitchers.
The Cubs exhibit a slugging percentage of .428, with 1,345 strikeouts and 674 walks this season. Collectively, they have accumulated 804 RBIs and 1,398 hits, maintaining a batting average of .251. The Chicago squad has recorded 274 doubles and launched 220 home runs, scoring a total of 850 runs with an on-base percentage of .339. Averaging 5.3 runs per game, the Cubs lead the MLB in offensive production.
The Cubs have a team ERA of 4.12 this season, ranking 14th in the MLB, along with 1,260 strikeouts by their pitchers. This season, they have conceded 231 home runs and allowed a total of 703 runs (ranked 12th). The pitching staff has a FIP of 4.60 and has issued 500 walks, allowing 1,323 hits (an average of 8.2 hits per 9 innings). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.52, with a collective WHIP of 1.26.
This year, Cubs pitchers have been in high leverage situations 161 times and faced runners on base 166 times. They have recorded 57 holds (30th in MLB) and achieved a save rate of 56.3%, successfully converting 36 out of 64 save opportunities. With 234 inherited base runners, 33.8% have scored. A total of 518 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Cubs this season.
Defensively, the Cubs boast a .990 fielding percentage, ranking 1st in the MLB, turning 124 double plays and converting 71.9% of balls in play into outs across 13,023 innings. The team has also notched 4,341 putouts, 1,547 assists, and 61 errors.
Kevin Gausman, with a career record of 116-115, has a FIP of 3.78. He has faced 8,196 batters and allowed 1,886 hits, averaging 8.7 hits per 9 innings. Gausman has an ERA of 3.84 with a WHIP of 1.240, having pitched 1,961 innings and accumulated 2,011 strikeouts.
The San Diego Padres have a slugging percentage of .398, scoring an average of 4.46 runs per game (ranked 16th in baseball). They have connected for 234 doubles, drawn 554 walks, and recorded 722 runs. With 183 home runs so far this season, they have 696 RBIs. The team has struck out 1,310 times, ranking 22nd, and tallied 1,314 hits, posting a team batting average of .244 and an on-base percentage of .319.
San Diego’s pitching staff holds a team WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 4.20. They’ve allowed 1,304 hits, ranking 13th in the league, while conceding 681 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.99 (636 earned runs). The strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.20 (1,315 strikeouts vs. 554 walks), allowing 180 home runs and an average of 4.27 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball).
With 179 save situations this season, the Padres have earned 106 holds and encountered 20 blown saves. Their bullpen has been called upon in 68 save opportunities, converting 48 saves, with an inherited runner scoring percentage of 31.0% from 248 inherited runners. Their save percentage stands at 70.6%, ranking 8th in the league, as 550 relievers have taken the mound this season.
Defensively, the Padres have recorded 131 double plays, sporting a .989 fielding rate (2nd in professional baseball). They have achieved 1,431 assists, recorded 64 errors, and 4,309 putouts across 12,927 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th overall).
In his MLB career, Nick Pivetta has allowed 1,134 hits, totaling 1,371 strikeouts over 1,245 innings pitched. He has given up 613 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.260 and a FIP of 4.4. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.15 and a career record of 72-78, Pivetta holds an ERA of 4.43, allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings.
Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Experts’ Selection: Back San Diego (-124) and the under 7.5 runs
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