- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Monday, July 27, 2026
- Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Chicago (-130) St. Louis (+110)
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In an exciting showdown at Busch Stadium, the St. Louis Cardinals (52-51) face off against the Chicago Cubs (58-45) this Monday. The betting lines favor Chicago at -130, while St. Louis holds odds of +110. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs, with the starting pitchers being David Peterson for the Cubs and Matthew Liberatore for the Cardinals.
The Chicago Cubs are showcasing an offensive strength with an average of 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 4th in the league. They’ve amassed a total of 523 runs, backed by an impressive on-base percentage of .337. The team has recorded 164 doubles and 129 home runs, accumulating 489 RBIs and 859 hits, resulting in a batting average of .244. Chicago’s slugging percentage sits at .411, with 879 strikeouts and 451 walks collected thus far.
As a pitching unit, the Cubs maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.27. They’ve allowed 157 home runs and 457 total runs, placing them 12th in the league. With 853 hits allowed (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and 432 earned runs, they boast an earned run average of 4.23 (16th overall). The Cubs have struck out 804 opposition batters and issued 314 walks, while their FIP for the season stands at 4.73.
The Cubs’ bullpen, with a season save rate of 55.3%, has encountered 80 save opportunities, successfully securing 21 saves while missing 17. Their relievers have inherited 152 runners with a crossing plate percentage of 31.6%. Cubs pitchers have come in with runners on base 105 times, including 102 high-leverage situations, deploying 339 relief pitchers thus far, resulting in 36 holds (30th in MLB).
In terms of defense, the Cubs have recorded 2,755 putouts, 955 assists, and 40 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .989 that ranks them 3rd in MLB. They’ve converted 71.7% of balls in play into outs throughout 8,265 innings played, placing them 3rd in professional baseball.
David Peterson has pitched 643 innings, striking out 625 batters with a career ERA of 4.17 (298 earned runs). His WHIP is 1.371, having allowed 612 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) while walking 270 batters. With a career record of 39-31, Peterson’s FIP stands at 4.11 facing 2,758 major league batters.
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit 110 home runs this season with a solid 444 RBIs, collecting 138 doubles, 330 walks, and a total of 456 runs. Their team on-base percentage is .316, while the batting average registers at .240. The Cardinals currently hold a team slugging percentage of .382 and score an average of 4.43 runs per game, ranking 16th in the league. They’ve struck out 797 times (27th in MLB) and gathered 825 hits.
On the pitching side, the Cardinals have allowed 462 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.18 (426 earned runs). They’ve given up 102 home runs, averaging 4.53 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). Their combined WHIP is 1.341, and their FIP is at 4.15. The Cardinals’ strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 7.70, with 781 strikeouts against 346 walks. Defensively, they rank 23rd in the league for total hits allowed, numbering 885.
The Cardinals are also positioned 16th in the league with a save percentage of 62.0%. They’ve sent 348 relief pitchers to the mound, with 122 high-leverage appearances and 111 situations with runners on base. With 122 save opportunities, they have recorded 69 holds and 19 blown saves, converting 31 saves from 50 chances. The inherited score percentage for St. Louis’ bullpen is 35.6% out of 163 inherited runners.
With a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in professional baseball), the Cardinals have achieved 94 double plays along with 961 assists and 46 errors, totaling 2,755 putouts this season. They maintain a defensive efficiency rating of 69.4% across their 8,265 innings.
In his career, Matthew Liberatore has permitted 459 hits while striking out 367 batters across 433 innings pitched. His ERA is 4.76 with 229 earned runs and a WHIP of 1.404. With a FIP of 4.7 and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.46, Liberatore has faced 1,879 batters and registered a career record of 21-31.
Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Chicago (-130)
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