- Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
- Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-122) St. Louis (+102)
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In an exciting MLB showdown, the St. Louis Cardinals (53-52) will host the Chicago Cubs (59-46) at Busch Stadium on Tuesday. Currently, the moneyline offers Chicago at -122 with St. Louis at +102, while the over/under is set at 8. Pitching responsibilities will fall to Colin Rea and Hunter Dobbins.
This season, the Cubs have recorded 170 doubles and launched 131 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .414, they have struck out 904 times and drawn 457 walks. As a collective, the Chicago Cubs are averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking 3rd in MLB, while accumulating 507 RBIs and 887 hits, giving them a batting average of .247. They also boast an impressive on-base percentage of .339 with 541 runs scored.
Chicago’s pitching staff holds a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.58 and a WHIP of 1.27. This season, Cubs pitchers have allowed 160 home runs and 465 earned runs, placing them 13th in MLB. With 869 hits conceded (8.4 per 9 innings), they maintain a 4.23 earned run average, which is 18th in the league, having struck out 819 batters. They have walked 318 opponents, with a team FIP of 4.74.
In save situations, the Cubs bullpen has achieved a save rate of 56.4%, stepping onto the mound for 81 saves, resulting in 22 successful saves and 17 blown opportunities. This season, they have faced 152 inherited runners, with a 31.6% scoring rate. The Cubs have utilized 343 relievers this year, securing 36 holds, ranking 30th in the league.
Defensively, the Cubs have converted 71.7% of balls in play into outs over 8,418 innings, ranking them 3rd in all of baseball. They have recorded 2,806 putouts, contributed 970 assists, and made 41 errors, culminating in a fielding percentage of .989, also ranking 3rd in MLB, along with 80 double plays.
Colin Rea holds a career record of 44-34, with a FIP of 4.41 after facing 3,028 batters in the majors. He has given up 699 hits (8.8 per nine innings) and issued 220 walks. With an ERA of 4.48 (354 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.292, Rea has pitched 711 innings, amassing 574 strikeouts throughout his MLB career.
On the other side, the St. Louis Cardinals have recorded 111 home runs this season along with 454 RBIs. They have contributed 141 doubles, drawn 337 walks, and scored 466 runs. The team’s on-base percentage stands at .316 with a batting average of .240. St. Louis is slugging at .381, averaging 4.44 runs per game (16th in baseball). However, they rank 27th in MLB with 811 strikeouts, totaling 842 hits.
The Cardinals own a WHIP of 1.334 and a FIP of 4.13 this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is marked at 7.70 (806 strikeouts versus 352 walks) and they are ranked 22nd in total hits allowed, with 898. They’ve given up 104 home runs this season, allowing 4.49 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). Overall, St. Louis has allowed 467 runs this season, leading to a team ERA of 4.13 (430 earned runs).
In terms of saves, they rank 17th in the league with a save percentage of 62.0%, having employed 354 relievers across 127 high leverage situations and 113 with runners on base. They have faced 122 save opportunities this season, securing 69 holds and suffering 19 blown saves. St. Louis has achieved 31 saves in 50 save chances, with an inherited score percentage of 36.4% out of 165 inherited runners.
Across 8,436 innings on the field, the Cardinals have a defensive efficiency of 69.5%, ranking 19th in the majors. They’ve turned 95 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of .988, positioning 6th in baseball, with 976 assists, 46 errors, and 2,812 putouts.
Hunter Dobbins, with a career record of 6-2, has achieved a 3.84 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.70 and has faced 375 batters in his professional career. Dobbins has permitted a total of 38 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.291 and a FIP of 3.8. Over his career, Dobbins has allowed 88 hits and registered 73 strikeouts in 89 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB match against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back St. Louis (+102)
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