- Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Chicago (+162) Cleveland (-196)
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The Chicago White Sox (45-39) are set to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (44-42) at Progressive Field this Friday. The betting odds favor Chicago at +162, while Cleveland stands at -196. The over/under total is established at 9 runs. Anthony Kay and Gavin Williams are expected to be the starting pitchers for this matchup.
This season, the Chicago White Sox are hitting for a slugging percentage of .418, having struck out 765 times and earned 293 walks. They have accumulated 391 RBIs and 682 total hits, leading to a team batting average of .243. This season, the White Sox have recorded 122 doubles and hit 118 home runs. They’ve scored a total of 409 runs, maintaining a team on-base percentage of .324. The White Sox average 4.9 runs per game, ranking 7th in Major League Baseball.
The White Sox have compiled a team ERA of 4.21, placing them 16th in the league, with their pitching staff tallying 700 strikeouts. They have allowed 89 home runs alongside 379 total runs (15th in MLB). Chicago’s pitchers have issued 318 walks, with an overall FIP of 4.25. The team has given up 668 hits (averaging 8.1 per 9 innings) and 348 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.20, and the collective WHIP rests at 1.32.
This season, the White Sox have used 283 relievers. The bullpen has inherited 135 base runners this year, yielding a scoring percentage of 28.9%. With only 26 holds (last in MLB), Chicago’s relief pitchers have made 91 appearances with inherited runners and faced high-pressure situations 82 times. They’ve secured 23 saves out of 40 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 57.5%, having entered 66 save situations overall.
Currently, the Chicago White Sox own 2,234 putouts with 696 assists and 42 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .986, good for 16th in MLB, and have completed 59 double plays. They have transformed 70.4% of balls in play into outs over their 6,702 innings, placing them 12th in the league.
Anthony Kay has pitched 165 innings in his career, accumulating 153 strikeouts with an earned run average of 5.07 (93 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.520. Kay has given up 173 hits (9.4 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 78 walks. With a win-loss record of 10-5, his FIP stands at 4.99, having faced 760 batters in Major League Baseball.
The Cleveland Guardians have recorded 77 home runs and 321 RBIs this season, along with 135 doubles, 317 walks, and a total of 336 runs scored. The Guardians’ team on-base percentage is .310, accompanied by a batting average of .228. Their slugging percentage is .363, and they average 3.91 runs per game, ranking 30th in the league. They have struck out 701 times, placing them 18th in baseball, with a total of 643 hits.
Cleveland’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.257 and a team FIP of 3.94. They rank 10th in MLB for fewest hits allowed (677) and have given up 349 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.77 (318 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at an impressive 9.30 (784 strikeouts to 278 walks). They have allowed 99 home runs, giving up an average of 4.13 runs per 9 innings, ranking 7th in the league.
Cleveland’s relievers have a 24.0% inherited scoring rate out of 121 inherited base runners. They have appeared in 103 high-pressure situations so far and faced runners on base 80 times. Out of 110 save opportunities, the Guardians have secured 72 holds and have experienced 8 blown saves. They boast a save percentage of 78.4%, ranking 2nd in the league, having sent 279 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
The Guardians have executed 61 double plays, achieving a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). They have accumulated 688 assists, 42 errors, and 2,280 putouts thus far this season. Out of their 6,840 innings played, Cleveland ranks 15th in defensive efficiency at 69.8%.
Throughout his professional career, Gavin Williams has conceded 353 hits while accumulating 450 strikeouts over 426 innings pitched. He has allowed 171 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.42, having faced 1,795 batters during his major league tenure, with a record of 27-24 and an ERA of 3.61, allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Chicago (+162)
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