- Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians
- Date: Monday, October 5, 2026
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: TBS
- Betting Odds: Chicago (+130) Cleveland (-157)
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The Cleveland Guardians (85-77) are set to face the Chicago White Sox (84-78) at Progressive Field on Monday for Game 2 of the ALDS, with the White Sox leading the series 1-0. The betting odds favor the Guardians at -157 while the White Sox are at +130. The total runs over/under is 6.5. Starting on the mound will be Sean Burke and Gavin Williams.
Chicago boasts a slugging percentage of .406, having struck out 1,494 times while drawing 589 walks. This season, the White Sox have recorded 740 RBIs and made 1,282 hits, leading to a batting average of .236. The team has hit 252 doubles and blasted 211 home runs. Their total runs amount to 776, with a team on-base percentage of .320. Averaging 4.8 runs per game, they rank 5th in Major League Baseball.
The White Sox’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.34, and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. Chicago pitchers have allowed 180 home runs and a total of 720 runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. They have surrendered 1,317 hits and 660 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.12 (15th in baseball). The White Sox have recorded 1,337 strikeouts while walking 571 batters, with a FIP of 4.25 this season.
This year, the White Sox have utilized 541 relievers. These relievers have inherited 269 runners, with 30.5% scoring. The team has achieved 63 holds (28th in MLB) and has entered high-leverage situations 156 times. With 41 saves this season, their save conversion rate stands at 57.7%, while they have been in 137 save opportunities.
Defensively, the White Sox have notched 4,322 putouts, 1,318 assists, and 82 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .986, placing them 16th in the majors. They’ve managed 115 double plays, converting 70.2% of balls in play into outs across 12,966 innings, ranking 12th overall in MLB.
Burke holds a career record of 17-18, with a FIP of 3.54 after facing 1,388 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 287 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and issued 132 walks, resulting in an ERA of 3.60 (130 ER allowed) and a WHIP of 1.288. Over 325 innings, he has accumulated 340 strikeouts.
The Cleveland Guardians have a team on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .239 for the season. They’ve struck out 1,271 times (26th in MLB) and logged 1,291 hits, while scoring 650 RBIs with 162 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .380, the Guardians average 4.19 runs per game (24th in MLB), hitting 249 doubles and walking 574 times for a total of 678 runs.
As a team, the Guardians possess a WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 3.82. Their K/BB ratio is a strong 9.60 (1,530 strikeouts against 530 walks). They rank 10th in MLB in total hits allowed at 1,286 and have conceded 175 home runs, allowing an average of 4.18 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Guardians have surrendered 667 runs, marked by a 3.77 ERA (602 earned runs).
Ranked 6th in MLB, Cleveland boasts a save rate of 71.9%, and has deployed 555 relief pitchers this season. Their relievers have appeared in 178 high-leverage situations and have faced runners on base 166 times. In 183 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 117 holds and 18 blown saves. Their bullpen has converted 46 saves from 64 save chances, with a 28.4% inherited scoring rate out of 261 inherited runners.
Over the season, the Guardians have executed 108 double plays with a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in MLB). They’ve achieved 1,262 assists, made 86 errors, and recorded 4,313 putouts, maintaining a defensive efficiency of 69.1% across 12,939 innings (23rd in MLB).
Williams has a career record of 32-28, presenting a 3.62 ERA and allowing 7.3 hits per 9 innings. With a K/BB ratio of 2.73, he has faced 2,127 opposing batters in his career, permitting 205 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.227 and a FIP of 3.6. Thus far in his MLB career, Williams has given up 412 hits and recorded 581 strikeouts over 509 innings.
Which team will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Chicago (+130)
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