Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Outlook, 7/2/2026 MLB Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

• Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
• Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
• Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
• Broadcast: Brewers.TV
• Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+126) Milwaukee (-152)

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The Cincinnati Reds (39-45) are heading to American Family Field on Thursday for a showdown with the Milwaukee Brewers (52-31). The moneyline for this contest lists the Reds at +126, while the Brewers are at -152. The projected total runs for the game stand at 8.5. Starting pitchers for this matchup include Chase Burns and Jacob Misiorowski.

The Reds boast a slugging percentage of .389 and have recorded 793 strikeouts, alongside 315 walks. They have accumulated 336 RBIs and 640 hits throughout the season, yielding an average batting figure of .227. The team has collected 137 doubles and 102 home runs, resulting in 355 runs scored with an on-base percentage of .309. Cincinnati averages 4.2 runs per game, placing them 20th in the league.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 1.81 with a collective WHIP of 1.46. The Reds’ pitchers have allowed 118 home runs and 413 runs total, ranking 21st in Major League Baseball. They have given up 718 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 384 earned runs, leading to a team ERA of 4.62 (23rd in MLB), while striking out 681 batters overall. They have issued 377 walks with a FIP of 5.02.

So far this season, the Reds have utilized 303 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 139 runners, with 24.5% of those scoring. Relief pitchers have achieved 49 holds, ranking 11th in the league. The Reds’ relievers have entered games with runners on base 100 times and have been in high-leverage situations 107 times. They have accumulated 20 saves and have missed 17 of their 37 save attempts, resulting in a save percentage of 54.1% in 87 save situations.

With 2,244 putouts this season, the Reds also have 685 assists and 45 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .985, which ranks 18th in MLB. They have turned 62 double plays and converted 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs, placing them 13th in the league.

Chase Burns, with a career record of 9-4, has a FIP of 3.04 after facing 555 batters. He has conceded 111 hits (averaging 7.4 hits per 9 innings) and issued 45 walks. His ERA stands at 3.08 (allowing 46 earned runs) alongside a career WHIP of 1.162. Over 134 innings, Burns has recorded 179 strikeouts in his professional career.

The Brewers possess a team slugging percentage of .397, scoring an impressive 5.18 runs per game, placing them third in the league. They have tallied 142 doubles, earned 347 walks, and scored 430 runs. Milwaukee has hit 78 home runs this season and accumulated 406 RBIs. Despite being struck out 686 times (22nd in the league), they have garnered a total of 718 hits, with a team on-base percentage of .338 and a batting average of .255.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has surrendered 303 runs, culminating in a team ERA of 3.39 (280 earned runs). They have allowed 79 home runs, permitting 3.66 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Brewers garner a team WHIP of 1.180 and a FIP of 3.53 for the season. Their K/BB ratio stands at an impressive 9.90 (820 strikeouts against 280 walks), and they rank second in MLB for total hits allowed, yielding just 598 hits.

This season, the Brewers have faced 80 save situations, achieving 39 holds and suffering 14 blown saves. Their relievers have entered 40 save opportunities, converting 26 into saves. Milwaukee’s bullpen has conceded runs to 37.8% of the 98 inherited base runners. The relievers have participated in 83 high-leverage situations and 68 appearances with runners on base. They currently hold a save percentage of 65.0%, having deployed 253 relief pitchers so far.

Defensively, the Brewers have executed 64 double plays and registered a fielding percentage of .989 (6th in MLB). They have achieved 631 assists, committed 33 errors, and logged 2,234 putouts this season. The defensive efficiency stands at 71.0% across 6,702 innings played, ranking 6th in the major leagues.

Jacob Misiorowski has allowed 100 hits during his MLB career while achieving 233 strikeouts across 165 innings. He has conceded 48 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 0.958 and a FIP of 2.6. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 4.02, having faced 649 batters in his professional career with a record of 14-6 and an ERA of 2.62, averaging 5.5 hits allowed per 9 innings.

Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Go with Milwaukee (-152)