- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
- Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+106) New York (-128)
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On Monday, the Cincinnati Reds (27-25) will face the New York Mets (22-30) at Citi Field. The odds favor the Mets at -128 while the Reds are at +106, with the total set at 9 runs. The starting pitchers are Nick Lodolo for Cincinnati and Nolan McLean for New York.
This season, Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .393 with 475 strikeouts and 200 walks. They’ve recorded 216 RBIs and 396 hits, yielding an average of .227 at the plate. The Reds have achieved 80 doubles and 66 home runs, driving in a total of 229 runs while maintaining an on-base percentage (OBP) of .310. As a team, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, ranking 13th in Major League Baseball.
The Reds are carrying a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.78 this season (25th in MLB), having struck out 402 batters. They have allowed 72 home runs and a total of 263 runs (also 25th in the league). With 244 walks and a FIP of 5.10, the Reds have conceded 439 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 247 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.65 and a WHIP of 1.47.
This year, Cincinnati has utilized 194 relievers, with the bullpen inheriting 76 base runners, 30.3% of whom have scored. The relief squad has recorded 39 holds this season (4th in the league). Reds pitchers have entered high-pressure situations 65 times, achieving 13 saves but falling short in 10 of their 23 save attempts. Their save percentage stands at 56.5%, with 63 opportunities to earn saves.
Cincinnati has converted 71.0% of balls in play into outs, placing them 8th in MLB. They have accumulated 1,396 putouts, 438 assists, and 23 errors for a fielding percentage of .988, positioning them 12th in MLB, along with 48 double plays.
Nick Lodolo has pitched 424 innings in his career, amassing 467 strikeouts. With an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.223, he has allowed 393 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 126 walks. Lodolo holds a career win-loss record of 24-23 and has faced 1,809 batters at the major league level, generating a FIP of 4.12.
The New York Mets have an OBP of .293 this season alongside a batting average of .228. They rank 22nd in the league with 414 strikeouts and have recorded 397 hits. With 46 home runs and 196 RBIs, New York holds a team slugging percentage of .352 and a runs-per-game average of 3.96 (25th in MLB). They’ve hit 68 doubles and drawn 153 walks, scoring a total of 206 runs this season.
The Mets pitching staff owns a WHIP of 1.278 and a FIP of 3.64. They rank 13th in total hits allowed (409) and have yielded 223 runs this year alongside a team ERA of 3.84. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.30 (481 strikeouts against 188 walks) and they have allowed 45 home runs, conceding runs at a rate of 4.30 per 9 innings (ranked 12th in MLB).
New York has faced 32 save situations, achieving 18 holds and experiencing 6 blown saves. In 14 save opportunities, Mets relievers have succeeded in 8 saves, while 37.5% of the inherited base runners (72 in total) have scored. Their bullpen has participated in high-leverage situations 68 times and faced runners on base in 55 of those appearances. The Mets rank 23rd in save percentage at 57.1% and have called 152 relievers to the mound this season.
The Mets have executed 30 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .985, ranking 21st in professional baseball. They’ve achieved 425 assists and 28 errors, with 1,401 putouts this season. In 4,203 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 69.6% (22nd in professional baseball).
In his MLB career, Nolan McLean has allowed 77 hits and has recorded 126 strikeouts in 106 innings. He has permitted 34 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.038 and a FIP of 2.8. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.82, having faced 422 batters so far. McLean holds a career win-loss record of 7-4 with an ERA of 2.89, allowing 6.5 hits per 9 innings.
Which team will emerge victorious in this MLB matchup, covering the spread or winning outright?
Recommendation: Bet on Cincinnati (+106)
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