- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+150) Philadelphia (-182)
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Citizens Bank Park will witness an exciting clash as the Philadelphia Phillies (23-23) face off against the Cincinnati Reds (24-22) this Tuesday. The betting lines place Cincinnati at +150 and Philadelphia at -182, with the over/under total set at 8.5. The starting pitchers for this matchup will be Chase Burns and Jesus Luzardo.
The Cincinnati Reds have a slugging percentage of .392 and have recorded 429 strikeouts while accumulating 184 walks. They boast 191 RBIs alongside 356 hits, yielding a batting average of .226. The team has notched 71 doubles and hit 61 home runs this season, scoring a total of 204 runs with an on-base percentage of .312. Consequently, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them 17th in the league.
The Reds’ ERA stands at 4.81 this season, ranking 26th in the league, with 365 strikeouts recorded by Reds pitchers. They have allowed 63 home runs and 239 runs (25th in the league), with 221 walks issued and a FIP of 5.04. Cincinnati has conceded 404 hits (averaging 8.7 per 9 innings) and 224 earned runs, while maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.65 and a collective WHIP of 1.49.
Cincinnati’s bullpen holds a save rate of 57.1%, having faced 54 save opportunities, converting 12 saves but blowing 9. The relief staff has inherited 72 base runners this season, with 31.9% crossing home plate. Reds relievers have pitched with runners on base 52 times and have made 59 high-leverage appearances this year. A total of 177 relief pitchers have taken the hill for Cincinnati thus far, accumulating 32 holds (5th in MLB).
The Reds have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs during their 3,774 innings, placing them 14th in the league. Defensively, the Cincinnati Reds have recorded 1,258 putouts, 402 assists, and 19 errors, leading to a .989 fielding percentage—ranking 8th in Major League Baseball—and producing 42 double plays.
Chase Burns has logged 96 innings in his professional career, achieving 122 strikeouts. With a career record of 5-4, Burns has a FIP of 3.04 and has faced 395 hitters. His earned run average is 3.09 (33 earned runs allowed) along with a WHIP of 1.145. He has allowed 76 hits (averaging 7.1 hits per 9 innings) and issued 34 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies hold an on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .235 this season. They have struck out 389 times (15th in MLB) and recorded 378 hits. The Phillies have totaled 57 home runs and 195 RBIs, achieving a team slugging percentage of .394 while averaging 4.23 runs per game (21st in the league). Philadelphia has compiled 68 doubles, drawn 139 walks, and scored 199 runs.
As a pitching staff, the Phillies have a WHIP of 1.357 and a FIP of 3.47. They rank 29th in MLB for total hits allowed (436), conceding 216 runs this season while posting a 4.22 ERA (197 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.70 (452 strikeouts against 134 walks), allowing 46 home runs and an average of 4.63 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league).
With 30 save opportunities, the Phillies have 15 holds and 4 blown saves. Philadelphia’s relievers have been on the mound for 15 save chances, converting 11 saves. The bullpen has inherited 31.6% of 57 inherited runners, stepping onto the mound 41 times during high-leverage situations and 48 times with runners on base. The team ranks 5th in save rate with 73.3%, having dispatched 162 relief pitchers throughout the season.
Out of 3,783 innings played, the Phillies have achieved a defensive efficiency rate of 65.5% (30th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 28 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in professional baseball). They have recorded 414 assists, 22 errors, and made 1,261 putouts this year.
In his career, Luzardo has surrendered 681 hits while registering 836 strikeouts over 744 innings pitched. Luzardo, with a career record of 44-44, has a 4.26 earned run average, allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings, and conceding 352 earned runs alongside a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 3.34, having faced 3,117 opposing batters in the majors.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Philadelphia (-182) and the under 8.5 runs
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