- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Scheduled Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+106) Pittsburgh (-128)
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The Cincinnati Reds (37-42) are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-40) at PNC Park this Friday. The current moneyline sees Cincinnati at +106 while Pittsburgh opens at -128. The game’s total runs are set at 8.5, with expected starters Andrew Abbott and Paul Skenes on the mound.
The Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game, positioning them at 21st in the league. They have scored a total of 331 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .309. The Reds have accumulated 128 doubles and hit 97 home runs, along with 313 RBIs and 599 hits, landing them with a batting average of .226. Their slugging percentage stands at .389, with 745 strikeouts and 302 walks drawn so far this season.
The Reds have posted a K/BB ratio of 1.77, with their pitching staff owning a WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have allowed 105 home runs and given up a total of 381 runs, ranking them at 21st in MLB. With 667 hits (an average of 8.5 per 9 innings), they have conceded a total of 354 earned runs. Their earned run average (ERA) sits at 4.51 (23rd in MLB), with 630 strikeouts recorded. The staff has also accounted for 356 walks, while their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.93 for the year.
This season, the Reds have utilized 286 relief pitchers, inheriting 122 runners, 26.2% of whom have scored. They have achieved 48 holds this season, placing them 10th in the league. Reds relievers have engaged in 89 games with runners on base and 98 high-leverage situations, recording 18 saves but blowing 15 out of 33 save opportunities. Their save conversion rate stands at 54.5%, having entered 82 save scenarios.
Defensively, the Reds have converted 70.5% of balls in play into outs across 6,354 innings, which ranks them 12th in the league. They have recorded 2,118 putouts, 649 assists, and 41 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 and executing 59 double plays.
Andrew Abbott, with a career record of 33-27, has a FIP of 3.44, facing 2,095 batters in the majors. He has allowed 456 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 178 walks, holding an ERA of 3.49 (193 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.275. In his 497 innings pitched, Abbott has collected 447 strikeouts.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have achieved a team OBP of .336 alongside a batting average of .257 this season. With 737 strikeouts (4th in MLB), they have recorded a total of 712 hits and 94 home runs for the season, alongside 386 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is at .411 and they average 5.05 runs per game (5th overall). The Pirates have also accumulated 127 doubles while drawing 299 walks and scoring a total of 404 runs.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff boasts a WHIP of 1.297 and a FIP of 3.87. The current K/BB ratio stands at 9.20 (733 strikeouts versus 289 walks), ranking them 14th in total hits allowed (640). They have given up 77 homers and an average of 4.79 runs per 9 innings, placing them 20th overall. With a total of 381 runs allowed for the season, they maintain an ERA of 4.12 (328 earned runs allowed).
Ranked 26th in the league, the Pirates have a save rate of 51.5%, deploying 253 bullpen pitchers this season. Their bullpen has taken the field 70 times in high-pressure moments and 74 times with runners on base. From 69 save opportunities, they have managed 35 holds and suffered 16 blown saves, securing 17 saves from 33 chances. The inherited score rate for Pittsburgh’s bullpen is 31.4%, allowing 102 inherited runners.
Pittsburgh has executed 59 double plays and holds a .982 fielding percentage (27th in MLB). They have achieved 638 assists, committed 51 errors, and totalled 2,150 putouts over the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.1% across 6,450 innings, ranking 25th in baseball.
In his professional career, Paul Skenes has allowed 294 hits with 493 strikeouts across 408 innings. He has given up a total of 98 earned runs, registering a WHIP of 0.946 and a FIP of 2.1. His K/BB ratio is an impressive 5.36, having faced 1,597 batters in his career. Skenes, with a record of 27-20, maintains an ERA of 2.16 while allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB match against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (-128)
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