- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026
- Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (-122), St. Louis (+102)
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This Saturday, the St. Louis Cardinals (32-28) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (31-30) at Busch Stadium. The moneyline for this contest has Cincinnati listed at -122, while St. Louis comes in at +102. The over/under for the game is 9 runs. Starting pitchers will be Nick Lodolo and Matthew Liberatore.
The Cincinnati Reds are currently averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 15th in MLB. With a total of 264 runs scored, they possess an on-base percentage (OBP) of .312. The team has hit 98 doubles and 77 home runs, accumulating 249 RBIs along with 468 hits, while maintaining a batting average of .229. They have a slugging percentage of .395 and have struck out 573 times, drawing 236 walks throughout the season.
So far this season, the Reds have amassed a team ERA of 4.76, placing them 27th in the league, with pitchers striking out a total of 476 batters. Reds’ pitchers have allowed 88 home runs and given up 305 runs in total, which ranks 24th in MLB. The pitching staff has issued 279 walks, and their FIP stands at 5.14 over the season. Cincinnati has conceded 515 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 289 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 1.71, with a collective WHIP of 1.45.
This year, Reds’ bullpen pitchers have been called upon with runners on base 64 times and have appeared in 67 high-leverage situations. The bullpen boasts 41 holds this season (6th in the league) and has a save percentage of 58.3% with 14 saves out of 24 opportunities. So far, they have inherited 87 runners, with 28.7% allowing a run. This season, the Reds have utilized 225 relief pitchers.
In the field, the Reds have converted 71.2% of balls into outs over 4,917 innings, ranking 9th in the majors. They have achieved 1,639 putouts, 504 assists, and committed 26 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .988 (7th best in MLB), along with 51 double plays.
Nick Lodolo has pitched 436 innings, accumulating 478 strikeouts in his professional career. With a career win-loss record of 26-23, Lodolo has a FIP of 4.08, facing 1,862 opposing hitters. He has an ERA of 4.15 (allowing 201 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.224, yielding 404 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and granting 130 walks.
On the other hand, the St. Louis Cardinals have hit 65 home runs this season, recording 250 RBIs with 84 doubles, obtaining 195 walks, and scoring 257 runs. The team carries an OBP of .317 and a batting average of .240. They have a slugging percentage of .384, scoring an average of 4.28 runs per game (17th in MLB). The Cardinals have struck out 487 times (23rd in MLB) and achieved a total of 484 hits.
The Cardinals’ pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.357, with a collective FIP of 4.20. They rank 24th in total hits allowed with 521. The team’s ERA stands at 4.15 (conceding 249 earned runs), and their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.70 (465 strikeouts versus 212 walks). They have surrendered 61 home runs and allow an average of 4.48 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).
With 80 save situations, the Cardinals have accumulated 48 holds and have encountered 10 blown saves. The bullpen has been called upon in 30 save opportunities, converting 20 of those into successful saves. St. Louis relief pitchers have inherited 34.0% of 97 inherited runners, facing high-leverage situations 75 times and 68 times with runners on base. They rank 13th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7% and have deployed 211 relievers this season.
St. Louis has registered 58 double plays and holds a .986 fielding percentage (18th in MLB) with 566 assists, 31 errors, and 1,622 putouts to date. In 4,866 innings played, they have achieved a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (24th in professional baseball).
Matthew Liberatore, boasting a career record of 19-27, currently holds a 4.59 ERA and allows 9.5 hits per nine innings. He maintains a K/BB ratio of 2.46, having faced 1,710 opposing batters throughout his MLB tenure. He has allowed 202 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.391 and a FIP of 4.5. Liberatore has given up 417 hits and recorded 329 strikeouts over 396 innings pitched.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Select Cincinnati (-122)
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