Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Outlook, 7/24/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Outlook, 7/24/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
  • Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
  • Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
  • Betting Odds: Cincinnati (-196) vs. St. Louis (+162)

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The Cincinnati Reds (47-54) are set to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (52-49) at Busch Stadium this Friday. The betting lines indicate the Reds as favorites at -196, while the Cardinals are listed at +162. The game total is set at 9 runs, with starting pitchers Rhett Lowder and Dustin May taking the mound.

MLB Picks JJ Bleday Cincinnati Reds Predictions Best Bet Odds

This season, the Reds have amassed 153 doubles and 134 home runs, boasting a slugging percentage of .400. They have struck out 937 times and earned 365 walks, scoring an average of 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 23rd in the league. With 404 RBIs and 777 hits, their batting average stands at .230, and they have achieved 423 runs with an on-base percentage of .309.

The Reds’ pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.43 and a K/BB ratio of 1.86. They have given up 136 home runs and 486 runs this season, placing them 22nd in the league. Cincinnati’s ERA of 4.56 ranks 24th, with 815 strikeouts recorded and 437 walks issued. Their FIP is 4.88, reflecting team struggles on the mound.

With 358 relief pitchers utilized this season, the Reds’ bullpen has inherited 158 base runners, with 27.2% resulting in earned runs. The relievers have recorded 56 holds (ranking 13th) and have faced 113 high-leverage situations. They have converted 23 of 40 save opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 57.5% across 97 save opportunities.

This year, the Cincinnati defense has racked up 2,694 putouts, 823 assists, and 53 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .985, good for 17th overall. They have executed 71 double plays, managing to convert 70.4% of balls in play into outs over 8,082 innings.

Rhett Lowder has pitched 102 innings, achieving 83 strikeouts with a career ERA of 4.40. He has allowed 108 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and 49 walks, with a WHIP of 1.536 and a FIP of 4.34 against 463 batters faced.

On the flip side, the St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated 110 home runs with 436 RBIs, alongside 133 doubles. They have walked 325 times and scored 448 runs this season, which gives them an on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .240. Their slugging percentage is .384, and they average 4.44 runs per game, which puts them at 17th overall. The Cardinals have struck out 786 times (27th in MLB) with a total of 810 hits recorded.

The Cardinals’ pitching staff has given up 448 runs this season, resulting in a collective ERA of 4.12. They have allowed 100 home runs and 4.48 runs per 9 innings, ranking 12th in the league. Their combined WHIP is 1.329 and their FIP sits at 4.15. They hold a K/BB ratio of 7.60, with 764 strikeouts and 338 walks issued, placing them 22nd in terms of hits allowed with 858.

With 121 save situations, the Cardinals have achieved 69 holds but have also experienced 18 blown saves. They have sent relievers to the mound in 49 save opportunities, successfully converting 31 saves. Their bullpen has inherited 162 runners with an inherited score percentage of 35.2%. They are rated 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.3%, utilizing 342 relievers this season.

Defensively, the Cardinals have completed 91 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .988 (8th in MLB). They’ve achieved 943 assists, committed 46 errors, and recorded 2,701 putouts this year, resulting in a defensive efficiency of 69.7% over 8,103 innings.

Dustin May, with a career record of 24-27, holds an ERA of 4.07 and allows 8.0 hits per nine innings, facing 1,770 opposing batters throughout his career. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70, surrendering a total of 191 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.227 and a FIP of 4.0. He has given up 373 base hits and notched 392 strikeouts in a total of 422 innings pitched.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash, covering the spread or securing the moneyline?

Prediction: Bet on St. Louis (+162)

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Pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+162)
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